Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Qual') (GBBPlus Race)

Kempton (AW)

14:40

Date 2025-03-29

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £51,540

Winning Time 2m 17.69s (fast by 0.21s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Teumessias Fox (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	4/1F	Won
2nd	Ambiente Amigo (GB) Sean D Bowen · James Owen	33/1	1.25
3rd	Real Dream (IRE) Joe Leavy · Ian Williams	33/1	1.5
4th	Mount Atlas (GB) Hayley Turner · Andrew Balding	9/2	0.2
5th	Paradias (GER) David Probert · Alan King	8/1	2.25
6th	Calumet (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Marco Botti	13/2	2
7th	Grey Cuban (GB) Jamie Spencer · Hugo Palmer	8/1	.5
8th	Max Mayhem (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Hilal Kobeissi	12/1	0.3
9th	Lieber Power (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Andrew Balding	22/1	4.25
10th	Mr Alan (GB) William Buick · George Boughey	33/1	4.5
11th	Killybegs Warrior (IRE) Pat Cosgrave · George Baker	12/1	2.25
12th	Andaleep (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · Daniel & Claire Kubler	28/1	2.5
13th	Forceful Speed (IRE) Luke Morris · Raphael E Freire	28/1	8
14th	Balmacara (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	8/1	0.3

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Teumessias Fox Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	136	—	84050-	100	113	-	182d	—	—	0	17.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won one of last 14 starts; however, that win came in good style here (1m4f) last January
7 (1)	Mount Atlas Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	134	—	81312-	98	110	80	169d	—	—	+18	32.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Second in valuable 1m4f contest in October; gelded since; lightly raced with potential
14 (10)	Calumet Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Marco Botti	J:Jack Mitchell T:Marco Botti	126	—	2213-	90	109	-	216d	—	—	+15	27.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Half-brother to high-class Giavellotto and, after just four races, surely has potential
5 (7)	Paradias Bay J:David Probert T:Alan King	J:David Probert T:Alan King	136	—	5031-1	100	110	71	66d	—	—	+15	25.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
C&D win in January in a blanket finish; just 1lb higher now and he has never been better
12 (12)	Killybegs Warrior Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	128	—	30-723	92	111	-	23d	—	—	+4	13.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Made most when second in this race last year off 11lb higher, the last of three AW runs
3 (4)	Balmacara Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	137	h	13220-	101	110	-	182d	—	—	+16	24	2.25/1	9/1 10%
8-1 when mid-division in the Cambridgeshire; progressed at 1m2f going into that; AW debut
8 (3)	Grey Cuban Grey J:Jamie Spencer T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jamie Spencer T:Hugo Palmer	134	h	11610-	98	110	-	169d	—	—	+19	26.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Doncaster 1m2f win under Jamie Spencer on penultimate start puts him in the picture
2 (9)	Max Mayhem Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Hilal Kobeissi	138	—	58-631	102	110	65	15d	—	—	+10	14.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won this race in 2023; 8lb rise since recent Meydan win takes him to a career-high mark
9 (2)	Forceful Speed Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Raphael E Freire	J:Luke Morris T:Raphael E Freire	132	ht	4/612-	96	110	69	273d	—	—	+8	12.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Competitive for new yard (same owners) if starting this term where he left off last season
13 (8)	Lieber Power Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	128	—	21226-	92	110	-	189d	—	—	+17	21.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
2yo winner here; did well over about 1m4f last summer; player if he returns in top form
6 (14)	Mr Alan Chestnut J:William Buick T:George Boughey	J:William Buick T:George Boughey	135	tp	0-3372	99	107	42	23d	—	—	+9	13.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Best known for 1m2f/1m4f handicap performances in the mud but he won't lack for fitness
1 (13)	Real Dream Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Ian Williams	138	—	3/257-	102	110	-	210d	—	—	+13	15.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ended 2024 with two poor runs; left Stoute yard for 30,000gns; good first-time-out record
11 (11)	Andaleep Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	129	tp	52V62-	93	110	88	93d	—	—	+15	18	8.25/1	33/1 3%
This might be bit too competitive for win purposes; cheekpieces (tried once in 2022) back
10 (5)	Ambiente Amigo Bay J:Sean D Bowen T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen T:James Owen	131	—	53476-	95	108	-	—	—	—	+10	12.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Minor honours in two 1m4f Listed races last summer; needs Flat return to be a career best

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Teumessias Fox	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Mount Atlas	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Calumet	7/1	7/1	13/2	13/2	6/1
Paradias	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Killybegs Warrior	8/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Balmacara	8/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Grey Cuban	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Max Mayhem	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Forceful Speed	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	16/1
Lieber Power	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Mr Alan	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Real Dream	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Andaleep	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1
Ambiente Amigo	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mount Atlas

32.9

OR: 12 Form: 16.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Calumet

27.6

OR: 10 Form: 14 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Grey Cuban

26.1

OR: 12 Form: 12 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Paradias

25.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Balmacara

OR: 12.8 Form: 8.9 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Lieber Power

21.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Andaleep

OR: 10.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Teumessias Fox

17.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Real Dream

15.8

OR: 13 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Max Mayhem

14.2

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Mr Alan

13.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Killybegs Warrior

13.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Forceful Speed

12.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Ambiente Amigo

12.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Max Mayhem	102	110	65
Real Dream	102	110	—
Balmacara	101	110	—
Teumessias Fox	100	113	—
Paradias	100	110	71
Mr Alan	99	107	42
Mount Atlas	98	110	80
Grey Cuban	98	110	—
Forceful Speed	96	110	69
Ambiente Amigo	95	108	—
Andaleep	93	110	88
Killybegs Warrior	92	111	—
Lieber Power	92	110	—
Calumet	90	109	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Max Mayhem	15d ago	Fit
Killybegs Warrior	23d ago	Fit
Mr Alan	23d ago	Fit
Paradias	66d ago	Fresh
Andaleep	93d ago	Long break
Mount Atlas	169d ago	Long break
Grey Cuban	169d ago	Long break
Teumessias Fox	182d ago	Long break
Balmacara	182d ago	Long break
Lieber Power	189d ago	Long break
Real Dream	210d ago	Long break
Calumet	216d ago	Long break
Forceful Speed	273d ago	Long break
Ambiente Amigo	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.