everytip.com Horse Racing Tips Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Worcester

20:18

Date 2025-05-06

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,066

Winning Time 3m 59.50s (slow by 23.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dirty Den (GB) Callum Pritchard · Anthony Charlton	3/1F	Won
2nd	Katana (FR) James Bowen · Nicky Henderson	17/2	1.75
3rd	Scintillante (GB) Jonathan Burke · Alastair Ralph	9/2	5.5
4th	Renoir (GB) Rex Dingle · Ben Clarke	9/2	1.25
5th	Land Girl's Luck (IRE) Mr Jack Wilmot · Max Comley	13/2	.75
6th	Blackijo Dagrostis (FR) Stan Sheppard · Matt Sheppard	25/1	0.2
7th	Estate Planning (IRE) Ben Jones · Bernard Llewellyn	9/1	.5
8th	Ascension Day (IRE) Tom Cannon · Shaun Lycett	11/2	5
9th	Saddlers Dream (GB) Harry Kimber · Bill Turner	50/1	21

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8	Dirty Den Bay J:Callum Pritchard(5) T:Anthony Charlton	J:Callum Pritchard(5) T:Anthony Charlton	153	h	22254-	95	113	102	27d	—	—	+3	22	7/2 22%
Expensive to follow over hurdles; another headgear switch tonight, going back to the hood
1	Renoir Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Ben Clarke	J:Rex Dingle T:Ben Clarke	168	—	/2241-	110	107	95	41d	—	—	+17	34	4/1 20%
Improved as he's gained experienced over hurdles; respected off a 5lb higher mark
9	Scintillante Grey J:Jonathan Burke T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jonathan Burke T:Alastair Ralph	152	—	26586-	94	114	104	14d	—	—	0	17	4/1 20%
Went close over C&D (good) in maiden company last autumn but nowhere near that level since
4	Ascension Day Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Shaun Lycett	J:Tom Cannon T:Shaun Lycett	158	p	2456P-	100	111	97	124d	—	—	+5	15.6	7/1 13%
Leap of faith required, back from four months off, having not taken to fences
3	Katana Bay J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	160	—	5654-	102	112	80	20d	—	—	+6	15.9	15/2 12%
Starts handicap life at a sensible level for powerful yard; needs to brush up his hurdling
7	Estate Planning Bay J:Ben Jones T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Ben Jones T:Bernard Llewellyn	154	—	4R333-	102	107	76	31d	—	—	+13	21.5	10/1 9%
Hasn't always looked the easiest but proved competitive since handicapping on good ground
6	Land Girl's Luck Bay J:Mr Jack Wilmot(7) T:Max Comley	J:Mr Jack Wilmot(7) T:Max Comley	155	—	39314-	97	111	88	23d	—	—	+15	23.2	12/1 8%
Found it beyond her off a 3lb higher mark on her handicap debut; cheekpieces come off
5	Blackijo Dagrostis Brown J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	155	t	45P45-	97	103	81	15d	—	—	+8	13.4	16/1 6%
Ran as well as he was entitled to in a Chepstow novice last time; this is more realistic
10	Saddlers Dream Bay J:Harry Kimber T:Bill Turner	J:Harry Kimber T:Bill Turner	142	p	66854-	84	90	45	34d	—	—	+7	9.1	50/1 2%
Tailed off in two bumpers and three runs over hurdles, starting big prices every time
NR	Indemnity Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Emma Lavelle	J:NON-RUNNER T:Emma Lavelle	173	—	431-1	115	113	92	1d	—	—	—	26.3	—
Won easily at Warwick yesterday and would hold obvious claims if turned out again quickly

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dirty Den	3/1	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2
Renoir	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Scintillante	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Ascension Day	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1
Katana	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Estate Planning	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Land Girl's Luck	10/1	10/1	11/1	8/1	12/1
Blackijo Dagrostis	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Saddlers Dream	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Indemnity	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Renoir

OR: 15 Form: 14 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Indemnity

26.3

OR: 16.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Land Girl's Luck

23.2

OR: 11.8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Dirty Den

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Estate Planning

21.5

OR: 13 Form: 6.2 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Scintillante

OR: 11 Form: 1 Odds: 5

4/1

Katana

15.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ascension Day

15.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Blackijo Dagrostis

13.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Saddlers Dream

9.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Indemnity	115	113	92
Renoir	110	107	95
Katana	102	112	80
Estate Planning	102	107	76
Ascension Day	100	111	97
Land Girl's Luck	97	111	88
Blackijo Dagrostis	97	103	81
Dirty Den	95	113	102
Scintillante	94	114	104
Saddlers Dream	84	90	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Indemnity	1d ago	Quick return
Scintillante	14d ago	Fit
Blackijo Dagrostis	15d ago	Fit
Katana	20d ago	Fit
Land Girl's Luck	23d ago	Fit
Dirty Den	27d ago	Fit
Estate Planning	31d ago	Fit
Saddlers Dream	34d ago	Fit
Renoir	41d ago	Fit
Ascension Day	124d ago	Long break