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Newcastle (AW)

19:00 ✓ Result

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-03-03
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 3
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £14,655
Winning Time 1m 26.12s (slow by 2.32s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st 16/1 Won
2nd 4/1F .75
3rd 28/1 0.3
4th 5/1 0.3
5th 18/1 0.1
6th 11/1 0.2
7th 6/1 1.75
8th 16/1 0.05
9th 9/2 0.3
10th 12/1 .5
11th 50/1 2.75

Non-Runners / Other

Status Horse SP
Fell 80/1
B.D. 13/2

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
2 (11)
Greatgadian
Bay
J:Aidan Keeley(3)
T:Roger Varian
J:Aidan Keeley(3)
T:Roger Varian
 132 — 142-36
92
109
89
 25d — — -1
14.9
1.00/1
4/1
20%
Had an excuse last time and running well over 7f beforehand; one to take seriously
14 (1)
Star Zinc
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Rebecca Menzies
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Rebecca Menzies
 117 — -27212
77
108
98
 8d — — +10
27.3
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Conditions to suit and comes here in top form; this is tougher though
5 (7)
The Caltonian
Bay
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:Linda Perratt
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:Linda Perratt
 129 b -11282
89
107
82
 12d — — +15
25.1
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Flourished in blinkers this winter and still improving judged on latest 6f second here
6 (4)
Love De Vega
Chestnut
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Charlie Johnston
 128 — -21531
88
107
87
 8d — — +18
28.5
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Two Chelmsford wins this year, latterly eight days ago; 4lb higher in a better race here
1 (13)
Misty Grey
Grey
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David O'Meara
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David O'Meara
 136 — 6354-7
96
109
86
 54d — — +4
14.2
1.75/1
7/1
13%
Smart on AW in his pomp; down in grade for this stable debut; yard runs three here
11 (9)
Zozimus
Bay
J:Ben Robinson
T:David O'Meara
J:Ben Robinson
T:David O'Meara
 122 h 0489-7
82
104
79
 28d — — +3
9.7
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Has his quirks but his reappearance was promising and he's not short of ability
4 (6)
Zip
Roan
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
 129 v 153-55
89
109
91
 28d — — +5
11.4
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Running well enough on AW this winter to enter calculations
10 (8)
Riot
Bay
J:Mark Winn(3)
T:David O'Meara
J:Mark Winn(3)
T:David O'Meara
 123 tp 3-4833
83
109
81
 13d — 0W/0P 1 run +6
12.1
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Ended 2023 in good form and he was placed in both runs last month; should run his race
13 (14)
Billy Mill
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Rod Millman
J:Cam Hardie
T:Rod Millman
 118 — 19-031
78
109
102
 22d — 0W/0P 1 run +3
8.6
3.00/1
12/1
8%
C&D win last summer; latest Wolverhampton success backed up by the clock; each-way shout
12 (5)
Darwell Lion
Bay
J:Joanna Mason
T:Ruth Carr
J:Joanna Mason
T:Ruth Carr
 121 — 88-498
81
108
80
 15d — — +5
8.8
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Edging down the weights but efforts for new yard this winter need bettering
7 (3)
Ron O
Chestnut
J:Tom Eaves
T:Ray Craggs
J:Tom Eaves
T:Ray Craggs
 127 — 5471-7
87
107
73
 62d — — +8
9.8
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Career best when winning at Southwell in November (1m); held in good race here in January
8 (2)
On A Session
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Jason Hart
T:David & Nicola Barron
 124 — 75730-
84
104
60
 132d — — +10
11
12.50/1
50/1
2%
On his last winning mark and can go well fresh; not out of it, for all he's 0-11 on AW
3 (10)
Anthem National
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Philip Kirby
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Philip Kirby
 131 — 53-880
91
99
-
 16d — — +9
10.6
20.00/1
80/1
1%
C&D winner; mixed bag in Bahrain this winter; looks high in the weights at present
NR (12)
Trip To Rome
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Ian Williams
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Ian Williams
 123 — /21-36
83
110
-
 2d — — —
8.3
— —
Promising stable debut at Wolverhampton two weeks ago; less good at Lingfield on Friday
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Greatgadian
 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1
Star Zinc
 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
The Caltonian
 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2
Love De Vega
 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2
Misty Grey
 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1
Zozimus
 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1
Zip
 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Riot
 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1
Billy Mill
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Darwell Lion
 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1
Ron O
 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1
On A Session
 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1
Anthem National
 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Love De Vega
28.5
OR: 9.5 Form: 16.1 Odds: 2.9
13/2
2nd Star Zinc
27.3
OR: 6.8 Form: 15.5 Odds: 5
7/2
3rd The Caltonian
25.1
OR: 9.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.9
13/2
4 Greatgadian
14.9
OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
4/1
5 Misty Grey
14.2
OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
7/1
6 Riot
12.1
OR: 8.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7
11/1
7 Zip
11.4
OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14/1
8 On A Session
11
OR: 8.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4
50/1
9 Anthem National
10.6
OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
80/1
10 Ron O
9.8
OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
33/1
11 Zozimus
9.7
OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
11/1
12 Darwell Lion
8.8
OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
20/1
13 Billy Mill
8.6
OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
12/1
14 Trip To Rome
8.3
OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Misty Grey
96
109
86
Greatgadian
92
109
89
Anthem National
91
99
 —
The Caltonian
89
107
82
Zip
89
109
91
Love De Vega
88
107
87
Ron O
87
107
73
On A Session
84
104
60
Riot
83
109
81
Trip To Rome
83
110
 —
Zozimus
82
104
79
Darwell Lion
81
108
80
Billy Mill
78
109
102
Star Zinc
77
108
98

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Trip To Rome 2d ago Quick return
Star Zinc 8d ago Quick return
Love De Vega 8d ago Quick return
The Caltonian 12d ago Quick return
Riot 13d ago Quick return
Darwell Lion 15d ago Fit
Anthem National 16d ago Fit
Billy Mill 22d ago Fit
Greatgadian 25d ago Fit
Zozimus 28d ago Fit
Zip 28d ago Fit
Misty Grey 54d ago Fresh
Ron O 62d ago Fresh
On A Session 132d ago Long break

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Ron O Mid-Pack
Trip To Rome Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.