Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

5:00

Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap

Date 2024-08-26

Distance 7f3y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,019

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (11)	Extrication ch Rossa Ryan · Roger Teal	Rossa Ryan · Roger Teal	139	—	6-327	79	87	37	58d	—	—	-2	10.9	7/1 13%
2nd in Wetherby novice (7f, soft); faded into 7th of ten on handicap debut (good to firm)
12 (3)	Guiteau gr Rhys Clutterbuck · Dominic Ffrench Davis	Rhys Clutterbuck · Dominic Ffrench Davis	131	—	16-128	71	87	75	18d	—	—	-5	9.3	11/2 15%
1st and 2nd over C&D last month; more interesting back here after his Sandown 1m run
6 (15)	Marlay Park b/br Hector Crouch · Jim Boyle	Hector Crouch · Jim Boyle	137	p	048782	77	91	75	10d	—	—	+4	14.8	7/1 13%
Four C&D wins, nearly always in the frame here and pipped on latest start; first headgear
4 (8)	Dream Of Mischief b Jim Crowley · Amanda Perrett	Jim Crowley · Amanda Perrett	138	p	032351	78	86	74	10d	—	—	+13	23.7	7/1 13%
Consistent in 2024; came from last to short-head Marlay Park over C&D (good) ten days ago
7 (10)	Tanmawwy b Jack Mitchell · Heather Main	Jack Mitchell · Heather Main	136	h	500404	76	89	53	18d	—	—	-1	9.4	9/1 10%
Four races this summer, easily the best of which was a fair fourth three starts back
5 (7)	G'Daay b Callum Shepherd · Joseph Parr	Callum Shepherd · Joseph Parr	138	hv	3-4901	78	91	67	16d	—	—	+3	11.3	10/1 9%
Often leads; won off reduced mark 16 days ago; first and second here last summer
15 (14)	Purefoy b Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	122	p	100667	67	83	63	13d	—	—	-2	6.5	10/1 9%
Made all on handicap/seasonal debut; disappointing since, particularly on turf
10 (5)	Giorgio M b Pat Cosgrave · George Boughey	Pat Cosgrave · George Boughey	134	tp	412513	79	87	74	34d	—	—	+16	22.5	11/1 8%
Needs a bit extra but, with 3yo who's won twice already this term, that's not impossible
13 (6)	Redredrobin b Joe Leavy(5) · Malcolm Saunders	Joe Leavy(5) · Malcolm Saunders	130	—	-88051	70	91	78	11d	—	—	+10	16.9	11/1 8%
Dual C&D winner last summer; returns after a Chepstow win off reduced mark 11 days ago
14 (1)	Capote's Dream br Sean Levey · Tom Ward	Sean Levey · Tom Ward	130	tv	209587	70	86	74	11d	—	—	+1	6.6	16/1 6%
Easily best run this season was in April first time and he's 10lb lower today; rare 7f run
8 (13)	Hodler b Luke Catton(3) · Jim Boyle	Luke Catton(3) · Jim Boyle	136	—	037387	76	87	78	39d	—	—	+4	10.2	14/1 7%
Did well here 2022; nothing like as potent here since, including three of last four runs
11 (2)	Shot Of Love b Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	131	b	200822	71	84	59	27d	—	—	+11	15	22/1 4%
Front-runner; switched to cheekpieces when back-to-form second on last two outings
9 (9)	Arctician gr Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	135	h	471504	75	84	47	12d	—	—	+8	9.8	40/1 2%
Latest AW win was in June but it's a long time since he made an impact on turf
3 (4)	Trueman b Tom Queally · Laura Mongan	Tom Queally · Laura Mongan	139	—	6/316-	79	87	-	445d	—	—	+6	7.6	80/1 1%
Bled last June in the latest of his four races; left D O'Meara for 6,500gns last September
NR (12)	Little Boy Blue gr Robert Havlin · Bill Turner	Robert Havlin · Bill Turner	140	p	08-143	80	86	75	18d	—	—	—	7.5	—
9yo with plenty of form at this track, including reappearance win; should not be far away

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Extrication	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Guiteau	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Marlay Park	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Dream Of Mischief	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1
Tanmawwy	9/1	17/2	8/1	9/1	17/2
G'Daay	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Purefoy	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Giorgio M	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Redredrobin	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Capote's Dream	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Hodler	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Shot Of Love	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Arctician	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Trueman	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dream Of Mischief

23.7

OR: 7 Form: 13.6 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Giorgio M

22.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

3rd

Redredrobin

16.9

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Shot Of Love

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Marlay Park

14.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

G'Daay

11.3

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Extrication

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Hodler

10.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Arctician

9.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Tanmawwy

9.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Guiteau

9.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Trueman

7.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Little Boy Blue

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Capote's Dream

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Purefoy

6.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Little Boy Blue Top Rated	80	86	75
Extrication	79	87	37
Giorgio M	79	87	74
Trueman	79	87	—
Dream Of Mischief	78	86	74
G'Daay	78	91	67
Marlay Park	77	91	75
Tanmawwy	76	89	53
Hodler	76	87	78
Arctician	75	84	47
Guiteau	71	87	75
Shot Of Love	71	84	59
Redredrobin	70	91	78
Capote's Dream	70	86	74
Purefoy	67	83	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Extrication	58d ago	Fresh
Guiteau	18d ago	Fit
Marlay Park	10d ago	Quick return
Dream Of Mischief	10d ago	Quick return
Tanmawwy	18d ago	Fit
G'Daay	16d ago	Fit
Purefoy	13d ago	Quick return
Giorgio M	34d ago	Fit
Redredrobin	11d ago	Quick return
Capote's Dream	11d ago	Quick return
Hodler	39d ago	Fit
Shot Of Love	27d ago	Fit
Arctician	12d ago	Quick return
Trueman	445d ago	Long break
Little Boy Blue	18d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Shot Of Love	Front Runner
G'Daay	Prominent
Redredrobin	Prominent
Capote's Dream	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 15 runners classified.

Going: Good

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