Aston Martin "Confined" Handicap (Which Have Won No More Than One Race)

Newmarket

5:15

Date 2025-05-03

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £15,462

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (7)	White Crown Star ch Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	130	—	735-12	80	97	71	16d	—	—	-5	12.5	9/2 18%
AW win on reappearance then ran well in C&D handicap; the type to improve further
11 (11)	Hunky Dory ch Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	124	—	553-	74	96	60	225d	—	—	-1	13	5/1 17%
Form of final 2yo effort has been strongly advertised by the runner-up since
1 (1)	Rogue Diplomat b Harry Davies · James Owen	Harry Davies · James Owen	136	—	33-1	86	94	67	29d	—	—	+9	23	11/2 15%
Suited by the drop to 7f at Leicester on reappearance; could well show further progress
6 (5)	Rockin' The Boat b Ryan Moore · David Menuisier	Ryan Moore · David Menuisier	130	—	335-	80	94	81	204d	—	—	+1	15.1	13/2 13%
Clear promise in 7f maidens last year and the form has substance; very interesting
8 (13)	Solar Army b Joe Leavy(3) · Roger Teal	Joe Leavy(3) · Roger Teal	129	—	7622-1	79	93	74	38d	—	—	+9	20.3	8/1 11%
Progressive in AW handicaps; something to prove off new mark back on turf
10 (2)	Nahash ch P J McDonald · James Horton	P J McDonald · James Horton	126	—	310-3	76	93	41	25d	—	—	+2	12.6	10/1 9%
Each-way possibilities, provided AW reappearance form is transferred back to turf
3 (3)	Beronia b Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	132	t	3619-4	82	92	79	7d	—	—	+3	10.1	12/1 8%
Won at Ayr in sole 7f handicap attempt and is still unexposed at the trip
13 (12)	Noble Guest br Luke Morris · George Margarson	Luke Morris · George Margarson	120	—	450-55	70	92	83	16d	—	—	0	6.7	12/1 8%
Latest effort (over C&D) can be marked up as things didn't go smoothly
4 (10)	Silver Ghost gr Sean Levey · Emma Lavelle	Sean Levey · Emma Lavelle	131	—	3226-6	81	88	72	22d	—	—	+4	9.4	12/1 8%
Remains a maiden but this drop back in grade is a positive
2 (6)	Gilet b Silvestre De Sousa · Warren Greatrex	Silvestre De Sousa · Warren Greatrex	133	—	22122-	83	90	86	203d	—	—	+21	25.6	16/1 6%
Proved consistent last season; likely to go well, assuming he returns in same form
12 (9)	Louie The Legend b George Wood · Dylan Cunha	George Wood · Dylan Cunha	122	—	2157-8	72	92	77	11d	—	—	+3	6.6	25/1 4%
Progressive in maidens; has regressed in three handicaps
NR (4)	Zabeel Road b Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	131	—	1492-	81	91	79	294d	—	—	—	15.8	—
Something to prove upped 2f in distance on debut for new stable
NR (8)	Arbitration b Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	128	—	555-44	78	92	71	7d	—	—	—	7	—
Creditable fourth in two handicaps this term; again has frame possibilities

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
White Crown Star	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Hunky Dory	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Rogue Diplomat	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Rockin' The Boat	6/1	11/2	11/2	13/2	11/2
Solar Army	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Nahash	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	10/1
Beronia	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Noble Guest	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Silver Ghost	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gilet	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Louie The Legend	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Zabeel Road	-	-	-	-	-
Arbitration	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gilet

25.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 16 Odds: 1.4

16/1

2nd

Rogue Diplomat

OR: 9 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Solar Army

20.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Zabeel Road

15.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Rockin' The Boat

15.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4

13/2

Hunky Dory

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 4

5/1

Nahash

12.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

10/1

White Crown Star

12.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Beronia

10.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Silver Ghost

9.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Arbitration

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Noble Guest

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Louie The Legend

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rogue Diplomat Top Rated	86	94	67
Gilet	83	90	86
Beronia	82	92	79
Silver Ghost	81	88	72
Zabeel Road	81	91	79
White Crown Star	80	97	71
Rockin' The Boat	80	94	81
Solar Army	79	93	74
Arbitration	78	92	71
Nahash	76	93	41
Hunky Dory	74	96	60
Louie The Legend	72	92	77
Noble Guest	70	92	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
White Crown Star	16d ago	Fit
Hunky Dory	225d ago	Long break
Rogue Diplomat	29d ago	Fit
Rockin' The Boat	204d ago	Long break
Solar Army	38d ago	Fit
Nahash	25d ago	Fit
Beronia	7d ago	Quick return
Noble Guest	16d ago	Fit
Silver Ghost	22d ago	Fit
Gilet	203d ago	Long break
Louie The Legend	11d ago	Quick return
Zabeel Road	294d ago	Long break
Arbitration	7d ago	Quick return

Going: Good

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