Bet Calculator At oddsmetrik.com Novices' Handicap Chase

Hexham

16:05

Date 2024-10-04

Distance 3m41y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,202

Winning Time 6m 27.94s (slow by 19.94s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Instant Gambler (IRE) Richie McLernon · Alexandra Dunn	6/5F	Won
2nd	Sean Og (IRE) Sean Quinlan · Dianne Sayer	14/1	2.25
3rd	Steps Match (IRE) Callum Bewley · Daragh Bourke	10/1	10
4th	No Promises (IRE) Ben Poste · Steph Cameron	40/1	7.5
5th	Macavity (GB) Harry Reed · Tristan Davidson	9/1	.75
6th	Defence Witness (IRE) Danny McMenamin · Sandy Thomson	3/1	3
7th	So Be It (IRE) Sam Coltherd · William Young Jnr	66/1	19
8th	Lady Mendoza (IRE) Nathan Moscrop · Rebecca Menzies	9/1	3.75

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Grand Du Nord (FR) Brian Hughes · Micky Hammond	25/1
P.U.	Hey Brother (FR) Lorcan Murtagh · Barry Murtagh	100/1
P.U.	Somebody's Fortune (IRE) Derek Fox · Lucinda Russell	18/1
P.U.	Toucan Sam (GB) Alan Doyle · Andrew Hamilton	40/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11	Instant Gambler Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Richie McLernon T:Alexandra Dunn	146	—	0P9/11	78	109	86	10d	—	—	-22	21.2	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Two out of two over fences, both at Fontwell, latest by 9l; penalised 7lb; contender
3	Defence Witness Brown J:Danny McMenamin T:Sandy Thomson	J:Danny McMenamin T:Sandy Thomson	163	—	3-9736	95	-	-	48d	—	—	+2	18.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Winning pointer; won a bumper and placed in 3 hurdles; a possible on chase debut
6	Macavity Bay J:Harry Reed T:Tristan Davidson	J:Harry Reed T:Tristan Davidson	160	b	266320	92	106	97	33d	—	—	+9	18	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Point/bumper winner; placed twice in h'cap chases this summer; below-par latest; exposed
1	Sean Og Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Dianne Sayer	J:Sean Quinlan T:Dianne Sayer	168	—	231219	100	104	94	16d	—	—	+19	28	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Below-par latest (made bad mistake); won two chases at Cartmel this summer; chance
5	Lady Mendoza Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	162	—	32-344	94	-	-	25d	—	—	+5	13.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Point winner; maiden over hurdles (9l fourth to Steps Match latest); chase debut
2	Steps Match Bay J:Callum Bewley T:Daragh Bourke	J:Callum Bewley T:Daragh Bourke	168	p	-45581	100	107	-	25d	—	—	+18	24.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ex-Irish; won 3m h'cap hurdle on stable debut last time; experienced chaser; contender
9	Grand Du Nord Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	156	p	/36-58	88	95	72	103d	—	—	+7	10.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won bumper here in 2021; well beaten two starts over fences this summer; others preferred
10	Somebody's Fortune Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	156	tp	5F5-17	88	-	-	92d	—	—	+6	10.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won mares h'cap hurdle in May; not so good next time; chase debut; others stronger
12	No Promises Bay J:Ben Poste T:Steph Cameron	J:Ben Poste T:Steph Cameron	142	tp	P/P603	74	106	35	38d	—	—	+3	7.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Decent third with headgear in handicap chase last time; same headgear; each-way chance
7	Toucan Sam Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	159	t	223P9F	91	106	77	48d	—	—	+9	10.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Placed in 2 hunter chases and a h'cap chase in May; not so good since; others stronger
8	So Be It Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:William Young Jnr	J:Sam Coltherd T:William Young Jnr	158	t	O55-22	90	103	61	111d	—	—	+8	10.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Maiden; fair second in C&D handicap chase last time; each-way chance
4	Hey Brother Bay J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Barry Murtagh	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Barry Murtagh	163	—	369-52	95	107	88	120d	—	—	+10	11.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Bought £5,500 in July; good 2nd in h'cap chase last time; could go well on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Instant Gambler	evn	11/10	11/10	11/10	6/5
Defence Witness	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Macavity	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Sean Og	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Lady Mendoza	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Steps Match	14/1	14/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Grand Du Nord	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Somebody's Fortune	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
No Promises	25/1	22/1	22/1	18/1	22/1
Toucan Sam	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
So Be It	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Hey Brother	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sean Og

OR: 12.5 Form: 13.1 Odds: 2.4

10/1

2nd

Steps Match

24.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

14/1

3rd

Instant Gambler

21.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

6/5

Defence Witness

18.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.7

11/2

Macavity

OR: 10.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Lady Mendoza

13.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Hey Brother

11.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Toucan Sam

10.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Somebody's Fortune

10.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

So Be It

10.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Grand Du Nord

10.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

No Promises

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sean Og	100	104	94
Steps Match	100	107	—
Defence Witness	95	—	—
Hey Brother	95	107	88
Lady Mendoza	94	—	—
Macavity	92	106	97
Toucan Sam	91	106	77
So Be It	90	103	61
Grand Du Nord	88	95	72
Somebody's Fortune	88	—	—
Instant Gambler	78	109	86
No Promises	74	106	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Instant Gambler	10d ago	Quick return
Sean Og	16d ago	Fit
Lady Mendoza	25d ago	Fit
Steps Match	25d ago	Fit
Macavity	33d ago	Fit
No Promises	38d ago	Fit
Defence Witness	48d ago	Fresh
Toucan Sam	48d ago	Fresh
Somebody's Fortune	92d ago	Long break
Grand Du Nord	103d ago	Long break
So Be It	111d ago	Long break
Hey Brother	120d ago	Long break