Quinnbet Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:15

Quinnbet Handicap

Date 2024-10-04

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Kinetic Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	140	—	211141	74	74	53	8d	—	—	+10	32.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Record since joining this yard is 211141; no telling how much progress she still has left
1 (4)	Sectarius Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	140	—	328-00	68	67	-	85d	—	—	-14	12.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Regressive in five starts in Ireland; longer trip a big doubt on stable/AW debut
7 (5)	Something Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jedd O'Keeffe	129	p	7-4575	63	71	7	16d	—	—	-11	9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Unplaced in five starts, but has shown ability; trip may suit; worth a second look
4 (7)	Love Safari Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	137	v	242957	71	71	-	14d	—	—	-3	10.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-8 but has twice only just been beaten including over C&D; may yet be capable of better
2 (3)	Southern Voyage Bay J:Harry Russell T:Richard Fahey	J:Harry Russell T:Richard Fahey	140	—	077346	68	76	66	14d	—	—	+1	8.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
C&D winner back off last winning mark; could go well back at this trip
6 (6)	Polar Princess Chestnut J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Philip Kirby	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Philip Kirby	132	t	946363	60	75	49	35d	—	—	+2	9.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Sole win in 19 starts came over C&D from 5lb higher; can't be completely dismissed
5 (1)	Royal College Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	336	70	68	-	16d	—	—	+7	9.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Placed in two of three starts on turf; open to progress up in trip on handicap/AW debut
8 (8)	Jamih Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Tina Jackson	J:Joanna Mason T:Tina Jackson	125	p	221106	53	73	-	18d	—	—	+8	10.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Well held in both starts since winning twice on turf in August; best watched for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kinetic	11/4	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Sectarius	11/4	5/2	11/4	2/1	2/1
Something	3/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Love Safari	13/2	11/2	6/1	11/2	5/1
Southern Voyage	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Polar Princess	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Royal College	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Jamih	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kinetic

32.7

OR: 6 Form: 20 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Sectarius

12.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

3rd

Love Safari

10.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

13/2

Jamih

10.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 9 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Royal College

9.3

OR: 5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Polar Princess

9.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Something

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Southern Voyage

8.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kinetic	74	74	53
Love Safari	71	71	—
Royal College	70	68	—
Sectarius	68	67	—
Southern Voyage	68	76	66
Something	63	71	7
Polar Princess	60	75	49
Jamih	53	73	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kinetic	8d ago	Quick return
Love Safari	14d ago	Fit
Southern Voyage	14d ago	Fit
Something	16d ago	Fit
Royal College	16d ago	Fit
Jamih	18d ago	Fit
Polar Princess	35d ago	Fit
Sectarius	85d ago	Fresh