Chronicle Sunshine Fund Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

Chronicle Sunshine Fund Handicap

Date 2024-10-04

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 39.19s (slow by 2.19s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bernadine (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · James Fanshawe	9/2J	Won
2nd	Little Ted (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	13/2	1.5
3rd	Turbo Command (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Alison Hamilton	15/2	.5
4th	Retraction (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	5/1	1.25
5th	Bicep (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Grant Tuer	6/1	0.3
6th	Strangerontheshore (GB) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	9/2J	1
7th	Coligone Kate (GB) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Julie Camacho	28/1	3
8th	Dougies Dream (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	11/1	2.75
9th	Pallas Lord (IRE) Jason Hart · Donald Whillans	17/2	1.75

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Bernadine Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:James Fanshawe	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:James Fanshawe	134	b	785662	64	79	67	35d	—	—	-4	13.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Back to form when second last time and still below her last winning mark; shortlisted
2 (5)	Bicep Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	136	—	662582	66	78	62	8d	—	—	-1	14.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
3lb well in after recent narrow defeat at Southwell, but this stiff 1m may not be ideal
1 (3)	Pallas Lord Bay J:Jason Hart T:Donald Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Donald Whillans	136	—	114212	66	77	62	166d	—	—	+11	24.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Won five times over 7f/1m here at the start of the year, but is likely to need the run
6 (6)	Strangerontheshore Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	127	—	905382	57	80	53	10d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Record over C&D reads 2182; 5lb below last winning mark and 1lb well in
4 (4)	Turbo Command Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	134	—	513642	64	77	59	22d	—	—	+4	14.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Has gone close a couple of times over this trip, but all five wins have come over 7f
5 (7)	Retraction Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	132	—	-46603	62	75	52	17d	—	—	0	8.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
0-8 but placed in both starts at Redcar; this trip does seem to stretch him
7 (9)	Little Ted Chestnut J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	127	p	243715	57	69	69	20d	—	—	+4	12	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Record over C&D reads 144542442; only beaten a head on his last visit in July; a player
8 (8)	Dougies Dream Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	126	p	273307	56	77	45	31d	—	—	-1	5.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two of this four wins have come over C&D, but well held back here last month; best watched
9 (2)	Coligone Kate Chestnut J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Julie Camacho	116	hp	737878	46	73	36	16d	—	—	-2	1.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
0-24 and new headgear combination needs to make a difference

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bernadine	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Bicep	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Pallas Lord	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Strangerontheshore	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
Turbo Command	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Retraction	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	9/1
Little Ted	8/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Dougies Dream	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Coligone Kate	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pallas Lord

24.1

OR: 4 Form: 16.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Bicep

14.9

OR: 4 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Turbo Command

14.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Bernadine

13.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Strangerontheshore

12.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Little Ted

OR: 1.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Retraction

8.4

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Dougies Dream

5.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Coligone Kate

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bicep	66	78	62
Pallas Lord	66	77	62
Bernadine	64	79	67
Turbo Command	64	77	59
Retraction	62	75	52
Strangerontheshore	57	80	53
Little Ted	57	69	69
Dougies Dream	56	77	45
Coligone Kate	46	73	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bicep	8d ago	Quick return
Strangerontheshore	10d ago	Quick return
Coligone Kate	16d ago	Fit
Retraction	17d ago	Fit
Little Ted	20d ago	Fit
Turbo Command	22d ago	Fit
Dougies Dream	31d ago	Fit
Bernadine	35d ago	Fit
Pallas Lord	166d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.