Spindles Leisure Club Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

17:25

Date 2024-10-04

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Spetses Brown J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-24	11.1	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Well-connected colt from yard with a 25% strike-rate here in last five years (45-182)
4 (3)	King Of Lightning Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:Gemma Tutty	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	2	-	75	14	239d	—	—	-14	13.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Promising C&D debut in February; can improve but he might need this after a layoff
1 (1)	Jacks My Boy Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	135	—	61	76	79	27	15d	—	—	+6	20.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Both starts at 1m on Polytrack, big step forward when winning the latest; more to come
2 (2)	Countess Candy Chestnut J:David Allan T:Conrad Allen	J:David Allan T:Conrad Allen	132	—	31	71	78	29	22d	—	—	+7	21.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Relished this surface when 1m2f winner here latest; slight query about drop to 1m
3 (4)	Matt Cool Bay J:James Sullivan T:Fred Watson	J:James Sullivan T:Fred Watson	131	—	7	-	-	-	44d	—	—	0	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Good family; tailed off on belated 6f debut; 1m will suit better but very early days

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Spetses	11/8	6/4	11/8	11/8	11/8
King Of Lightning	9/4	2/1	85/40	15/8	2/1
Jacks My Boy	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Countess Candy	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Matt Cool	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Countess Candy

21.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Jacks My Boy

20.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

King Of Lightning

13.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Spetses

11.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.1

6/4

Matt Cool

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jacks My Boy	76	79	27
Countess Candy	71	78	29
Spetses	—	—	—
King Of Lightning	—	75	14
Matt Cool	—	—	—

Last Run

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.