Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-10-18

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 59.52s (slow by 2.02s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Facoulty (IRE) P J McDonald · Kevin Philippart De Foy	9/2J	Won
2nd	Ghostman (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · Dylan Cunha	5/1	.75
3rd	Bella Love (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · Craig Lidster	9/2J	0.05
4th	Tabago Moon (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Iain Jardine	7/1	0.1
5th	Azuinthejungle (GB) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	6/1	.5
6th	Bow Street (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	17/2	0.2
7th	Causin A Commotion (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	9/1	2.75
8th	Cugini (GB) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	20/1	0.2
9th	Harswell Dandy (IRE) Jack Doughty · Roger Fell	12/1	1.5
10th	Almasi (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	22/1	3.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (1)	Facoulty Bay J:P J McDonald T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:P J McDonald T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	134	—	85532	64	75	49	22d	—	—	0	15	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Improved since switched to nurseries; second of 14 at Southwell last time; high on list
2 (4)	Bella Love Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Craig Lidster	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Craig Lidster	137	—	232276	67	74	-	23d	—	—	-2	13.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Placed in first four starts but held in two nurseries; sister to a five-time Tapeta winner
5 (12)	Ghostman Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	136	b	65084	66	66	49	11d	—	—	-7	8.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Better effort when fourth at Wolverhampton 11 days ago; considered off same mark
3 (6)	Bow Street Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	136	—	78476	66	69	43	34d	—	—	-2	6.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Not beaten far at Bath last time and that form is working out well; each-way claims
10 (8)	Tabago Moon Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	129	—	494	59	69	-	18d	—	—	-5	4.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has shown ability and is related to AW winners; not dismissed on nursery debut
12 (3)	Causin A Commotion Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	123	b	7904	53	71	47	18d	—	—	-5	3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Got going too late when fourth on nursery debut; this stiffer track may help; blinkers on
7 (7)	Azuinthejungle Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	0448	65	68	-	16d	—	—	-5	7.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ability in both starts last month but held on nursery debut; out of a dual Tapeta winner
6 (2)	Harswell Dandy Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Roger Fell	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Roger Fell	135	—	317614	65	72	58	22d	—	—	+7	14.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Both wins have come in four-runner events; return to a stiff track may not be ideal
4 (5)	Cugini Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	136	—	273073	66	70	-	18d	—	—	+3	9.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Placed in four of nine starts on turf, but needs the switch to the AW to make a difference
9 (9)	Almasi Brown J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	133	v	564	63	65	41	43d	—	—	-1	4.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Some ability in three starts for another stable; improvement needed; visor on
NR (11)	Dutch Finale Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	137	—	577	67	70	61	77d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Makes nursery debut after 11 weeks off having been gelded; market support worth noting
NR (10)	Blue Force One Bay J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	128	—	775	58	73	27	45d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Has regressed in three starts; needs to improve plenty for the switch to a nursery

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Facoulty	5/1	5/1	5/1	4/1	5/1
Bella Love	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	4/1
Ghostman	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bow Street	17/2	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Tabago Moon	17/2	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Causin A Commotion	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Azuinthejungle	7/1	6/1	7/1	7/1	12/1
Harswell Dandy	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Cugini	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Almasi	12/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Facoulty

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Harswell Dandy

14.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 9 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Bella Love

13.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Cugini

9.6

OR: 4 Form: 3.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ghostman

8.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Azuinthejungle

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

12/1

Bow Street

6.5

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Tabago Moon

4.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Almasi

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Dutch Finale

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Causin A Commotion

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Blue Force One

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bella Love	67	74	—
Dutch Finale	67	70	61
Ghostman	66	66	49
Bow Street	66	69	43
Cugini	66	70	—
Azuinthejungle	65	68	—
Harswell Dandy	65	72	58
Facoulty	64	75	49
Almasi	63	65	41
Tabago Moon	59	69	—
Blue Force One	58	73	27
Causin A Commotion	53	71	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ghostman	11d ago	Quick return
Azuinthejungle	16d ago	Fit
Tabago Moon	18d ago	Fit
Causin A Commotion	18d ago	Fit
Cugini	18d ago	Fit
Facoulty	22d ago	Fit
Harswell Dandy	22d ago	Fit
Bella Love	23d ago	Fit
Bow Street	34d ago	Fit
Almasi	43d ago	Fit
Blue Force One	45d ago	Fit
Dutch Finale	77d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.