£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:30

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	True Promise Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	131	—	098821	81	101	80	14d	—	—	-3	32.7	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Tapeta record of 1121; defied the widest stall at Southwell latest; 5f a query; unexposed
4 (4)	Jenever Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	131	—	515240	81	100	39	16d	—	—	0	17.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner; below par here last time but there were excuses; not ruled out
1 (2)	Muker Chestnut J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	080272	85	99	80	16d	—	—	+6	20.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two best runs this year have come on Tapeta, including C&D; should go well again
2 (1)	Looking For Lynda Chestnut J:Sam Feilden(7) T:K R Burke	J:Sam Feilden(7) T:K R Burke	134	p	773434	84	99	-	61d	—	—	+2	15.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Still to win this year but usually runs well in stronger company; AW a query but capable
3 (5)	Curious Rover Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Katie Scott	J:Oisin Orr T:Katie Scott	132	—	266018	82	99	-	19d	—	—	+7	18.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Struggled in Class 2 events either side of a Class 4 Redcar win; promise in one C&D run
6 (3)	Ecclesiastical Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	125	t	434314	75	97	76	22d	—	—	+11	17	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Conditions shouldn't be an issue but he will need a career best to come out on top

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
True Promise	6/4	13/8	6/4
Jenever	7/2	10/3	10/3
Muker	9/2	9/2	9/2
Looking For Lynda	6/1	6/1	13/2
Curious Rover	8/1	15/2	15/2
Ecclesiastical	16/1	12/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

True Promise

32.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Muker

20.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Curious Rover

18.1

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Jenever

17.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Ecclesiastical

OR: 6.3 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Looking For Lynda

15.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Muker	85	99	80
Looking For Lynda	84	99	—
Curious Rover	82	99	—
True Promise	81	101	80
Jenever	81	100	39
Ecclesiastical	75	97	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
True Promise	14d ago	Fit
Jenever	16d ago	Fit
Muker	16d ago	Fit
Curious Rover	19d ago	Fit
Ecclesiastical	22d ago	Fit
Looking For Lynda	61d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.