BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:10

BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 2m 13.35s (slow by 5.85s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Keen Interest (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Alice Haynes	3/1J	Won
2nd	Sassy Glory (IRE) Sam James · Mark Walford	14/1	0.1
3rd	Rampant (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Patrick Morris	5/1	0.3
4th	Violeta (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam	7/2	0.2
5th	Visitant (GB) Aiden Brookes · David Thompson	12/1	1.25
6th	Making A Move (IRE) Oisin Orr · Daragh Bourke	3/1J	.75
7th	Foshan (IRE) Ben Robinson · Adam Nicol	50/1	.5
8th	Eva Rosie (GB) Andrew Elliott · Stella Barclay	25/1	1.25
9th	Highland Lil (IRE) David Nolan · David O'Meara	33/1	14
10th	Foursome (GB) Rowan Scott · Daragh Bourke	9/1	13
11th	Scarbados (FR) Harrison Shaw · Ewan Whillans	80/1	32

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (11)	Keen Interest Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Alice Haynes	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Alice Haynes	131	—	123324	50	62	55	13d	—	—	-7	12.6	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Poor strike-rate but running well of late and this could be a good opportunity
1 (2)	Violeta Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	135	—	063515	51	65	27	37d	—	—	-5	13.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Poor strike-rate but sole win came over C&D in September; she's one to consider
10 (8)	Making A Move Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Daragh Bourke	J:Oisin Orr T:Daragh Bourke	129	—	00000	45	60	-	138d	—	—	-12	5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Makes handicap/stable debut off basement mark; check betting, but he's shown little
2 (7)	Rampant Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Patrick Morris	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Patrick Morris	133	—	68-940	49	61	58	72d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
12-race maiden but some of his best performances have come here; interesting
3 (5)	Foursome Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Daragh Bourke	J:Rowan Scott T:Daragh Bourke	132	—	637678	48	64	-	52d	—	—	-6	3.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
On a handy mark on this year's best but she's struggled on her last four runs; yard debut
5 (12)	Stand Free Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ivan Furtado	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ivan Furtado	131	—	397018	47	62	59	73d	—	—	+2	9.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Unreliable profile but she won over C&D two starts ago and can't be ruled out
4 (3)	Visitant Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:David Thompson	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:David Thompson	131	p	822872	47	61	59	10d	—	—	+3	9.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Runner-up on three of last five starts; high on the shortlist in what looks a weak race
8 (9)	Sassy Glory Bay J:Sam James T:Mark Walford	J:Sam James T:Mark Walford	130	p	854239	49	62	57	13d	—	—	0	6.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Disappointing last time but placed twice in a row in September and could bounce back
7 (6)	Eva Rosie Bay J:Andrew Elliott T:Stella Barclay	J:Andrew Elliott T:Stella Barclay	130	p	226339	46	62	53	24d	—	—	+2	5.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
13-race maiden but frequently placed this year (including here); each-way contender
9 (4)	Highland Lil Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	129	v	357950	48	62	12	17d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
3yo whose mark continues to fall but she's yet to threaten across her 11 starts
11 (10)	Foshan Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Adam Nicol	J:Ben Robinson T:Adam Nicol	129	—	070-90	45	57	-	10d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Remains a maiden after 17 starts and it's a long time since he's shown any worthwhile form
12 (1)	Scarbados Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Ewan Whillans	J:Harrison Shaw T:Ewan Whillans	126	—	663650	45	59	29	17d	—	—	0	1.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
3yo who is 0-10 and has struggled to get competitive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Keen Interest	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Violeta	7/2	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2
Making A Move	5/1	7/2	9/2	9/2	6/1
Rampant	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Foursome	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Stand Free	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Visitant	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Sassy Glory	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Eva Rosie	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Highland Lil	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	28/1
Foshan	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	80/1
Scarbados	100/1	80/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Violeta

13.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Keen Interest

12.6

OR: 0 Form: 6.9 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Visitant

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Stand Free

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Sassy Glory

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Eva Rosie

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1

25/1

Making A Move

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

6/1

Rampant

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Foursome

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Scarbados

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Highland Lil

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Foshan

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Violeta	51	65	27
Keen Interest	50	62	55
Rampant	49	61	58
Sassy Glory	49	62	57
Foursome	48	64	—
Highland Lil	48	62	12
Stand Free	47	62	59
Visitant	47	61	59
Eva Rosie	46	62	53
Making A Move	45	60	—
Foshan	45	57	—
Scarbados	45	59	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Visitant	10d ago	Quick return
Foshan	10d ago	Quick return
Keen Interest	13d ago	Quick return
Sassy Glory	13d ago	Quick return
Highland Lil	17d ago	Fit
Scarbados	17d ago	Fit
Eva Rosie	24d ago	Fit
Violeta	37d ago	Fit
Foursome	52d ago	Fresh
Rampant	72d ago	Fresh
Stand Free	73d ago	Fresh
Making A Move	138d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.