Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:55

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,972

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Chesneys Charm Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	135	—	114143	77	85	62	13d	—	—	-4	26.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Three 7f AW wins to his name; stays a mile; down in grade with good claims
3 (3)	Pivotal Days Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Walker	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Walker	131	—	943571	73	86	52	20d	—	—	-2	24.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Impressed on heavy ground last month (7f); 6lb higher now and facing different conditions
6 (5)	Anthropologist Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	124	—	474844	66	84	79	33d	—	—	-4	7.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-7 and not progressing; not fully exposed as a miler but others look more persuasive
5 (6)	Shielas Well Bay J:Shane Gray T:Grant Tuer	J:Shane Gray T:Grant Tuer	125	—	522511	67	79	48	53d	—	—	+15	27.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
2-2 over a mile, including C&D; up two grades today but could have more to offer
2 (1)	Sands Of Indi Chestnut J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	132	—	226	74	81	29	50d	—	—	+5	14.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Best effort came here (7f) in September; may improve for handicaps/longer trip
4 (4)	Space Raider Bay J:David Allan T:Craig Lidster	J:David Allan T:Craig Lidster	126	—	8035	68	84	-	20d	—	—	+2	8.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
His standout effort came over 6f; looked stretched by a mile latest; handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Chesneys Charm	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Pivotal Days	2/1	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Anthropologist	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Shielas Well	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Sands Of Indi	17/2	9/1	17/2	7/1	7/1
Space Raider	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shielas Well

27.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

2nd

Chesneys Charm

26.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 9.4

7/4

3rd

Pivotal Days

24.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 8

9/4

Sands Of Indi

14.7

OR: 6 Form: 6 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Space Raider

8.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Anthropologist

7.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chesneys Charm	77	85	62
Sands Of Indi	74	81	29
Pivotal Days	73	86	52
Space Raider	68	84	—
Shielas Well	67	79	48
Anthropologist	66	84	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chesneys Charm	13d ago	Quick return
Pivotal Days	20d ago	Fit
Space Raider	20d ago	Fit
Anthropologist	33d ago	Fit
Sands Of Indi	50d ago	Fresh
Shielas Well	53d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.