Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:05

Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (10)	Castan Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	133	—	805003	66	82	66	10d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-6	12.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
10lb lower than for a C&D win in March; solid third here ten days ago; contender
1 (8)	Strong Johnson Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Paul Midgley	J:Joe Fanning T:Paul Midgley	137	—	223743	70	82	73	21d	—	—	-6	16.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
C&D win off 12lb higher last November; good 3rd at Southwell (6f) latest; should go well
8 (7)	Darlo Pride Grey J:Sam James T:Michael Dods	J:Sam James T:Michael Dods	130	t	353762	63	86	71	10d	—	—	-2	13.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Best run for new yard when 2nd at Southwell ten days ago; one of three runners for M Dods
9 (1)	Bibendum Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Jessica Macey	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Jessica Macey	130	t	-56592	63	80	72	17d	—	—	0	11.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-9 but ran well for 2nd at Wolverhampton 17 days ago; 5f here should be fine; e-w shout
7 (4)	Let's Go Hugo Chestnut J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Ollie Pears	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Ollie Pears	130	—	239627	63	82	71	24d	—	—	+1	9.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D win off this mark in April; not seen to best effect last time; chance if rebounding
3 (5)	Midnight Lir Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Dods	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Dods	135	—	335945	68	84	-	45d	—	—	+1	6.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Handicapper on top this year; should be making an impact at this level; AW debut
6 (11)	Gustav Graves Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	131	—	655935	64	79	70	10d	—	—	+1	7.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Five AW wins last winter; back to a more realistic mark now; full revival not far away
2 (3)	Winged Messenger Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	137	h	302577	70	82	-	17d	—	—	+3	7.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not fully exposed but he needs to rebound from two lesser efforts; AW debut
4 (6)	Delagate This Lord Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	133	—	-60423	66	82	-	38d	—	—	+8	11.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Good runs on turf the last twice; has no comparable AW form as yet
11 (9)	Azucena Bay J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	129	—	370717	62	80	59	21d	—	—	+8	10.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
C&D win last month has worked out but she failed to back it up at Southwell last time
NR (2)	Lord Abama Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	134	b	565431	67	79	70	2d	—	—	—	16.4	—	—
Prominent racer; first AW win with game effort over 6f here on Tues; penalty demands more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Castan	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Strong Johnson	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Darlo Pride	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bibendum	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Let's Go Hugo	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Midnight Lir	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Gustav Graves	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Winged Messenger	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Delagate This Lord	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Azucena	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Lord Abama	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Strong Johnson

16.6

OR: 5 Form: 4.9 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Lord Abama

16.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Darlo Pride

13.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Castan

12.2

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Bibendum

11.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Delagate This Lord

11.4

OR: 4 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Azucena

10.8

OR: 3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Let's Go Hugo

9.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Winged Messenger

7.9

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Gustav Graves

7.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Midnight Lir

6.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Strong Johnson	70	82	73
Winged Messenger	70	82	—
Midnight Lir	68	84	—
Lord Abama	67	79	70
Castan	66	82	66
Delagate This Lord	66	82	—
Gustav Graves	64	79	70
Darlo Pride	63	86	71
Bibendum	63	80	72
Let's Go Hugo	63	82	71
Azucena	62	80	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lord Abama	2d ago	Quick return
Castan	10d ago	Quick return
Darlo Pride	10d ago	Quick return
Gustav Graves	10d ago	Quick return
Bibendum	17d ago	Fit
Winged Messenger	17d ago	Fit
Strong Johnson	21d ago	Fit
Azucena	21d ago	Fit
Let's Go Hugo	24d ago	Fit
Delagate This Lord	38d ago	Fit
Midnight Lir	45d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.