Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Date 2024-11-11

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 39.90s (slow by 2.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Rogue Encore (GB) Luke Morris · Peter Chapple-Hyam	11/4F	Won
2nd	The Cookstown Cafu (GB) David Nolan · David O'Meara	5/1	.75
3rd	Savvy Exchange (IRE) Robert Havlin · S Woods	3/1	1.25
4th	Titian (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	12/1	0.3
5th	Mudamer (IRE) David Allan · Geoffrey Harker	12/1	0.3
6th	Alreet Cha (IRE) Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	16/1	5
7th	Bellarchi (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	13/2	1.75
8th	The African Queen (GB) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	12/1	1.25
9th	Deauville (FR) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	150/1	4.25

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
RR	Star Zinc (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Rebecca Menzies	12/1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (8)	Rogue Encore Bay J:Luke Morris T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Luke Morris T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	134	p	353961	80	90	84	10d	—	—	+1	25.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Off the mark here latest (first-time cheekpieces) off 3lb lower; fair chance of follow-up
8 (10)	Savvy Exchange Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	130	v	157297	76	93	58	21d	—	—	-5	14.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Mixed bag since handicapping; a lot will hinge on how he responds to first-time headgear
4 (3)	The Cookstown Cafu Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	134	p	591410	78	90	77	16d	—	—	+6	21.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Lesser turf run latest when soft going wouldn't have posed a problem; has to bounce back
3 (6)	Titian Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	136	—	-04194	80	93	-	14d	—	—	+6	15	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Does well in the autumn; returns to Tapeta on a workable mark and is one to consider
5 (2)	Bellarchi Chestnut J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	134	—	507797	80	93	-	19d	—	—	+1	10.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Currently 1-1 on Tapeta; offered a bit more last time and no shock were she to pop up
1 (9)	The African Queen Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	137	—	931-17	83	87	24	186d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Six-month layoff looks a bonus if anything and she's 1-1 on Tapeta; goes on the shotlist
7 (5)	Star Zinc Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	130	—	7300RR	74	92	73	39d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Quite capable off this mark if in the mood but comes with obvious risks attached
2 (1)	Mudamer Grey J:David Allan T:Geoffrey Harker	J:David Allan T:Geoffrey Harker	136	—	-60037	80	90	-	59d	—	—	+6	10.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ex-Irish gelding whose three wins all came in the summer months; others are stronger
9 (4)	Alreet Cha Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	125	p	447017	71	88	58	10d	—	—	+9	13.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
No obvious excuse back in a handicap latest; has to improve for stiffest test to date
10 (7)	Deauville Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	123	—	014-38	67	89	-	13d	—	—	+4	4.5	31.25/1	125/1 1%
No better here latest (1m2f); would be a surprise winner dropping down in distance again

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rogue Encore	11/4	5/2	11/4
Savvy Exchange	10/3	3/1	10/3
The Cookstown Cafu	11/2	11/2	5/1
Titian	8/1	8/1	8/1
Bellarchi	8/1	8/1	8/1
The African Queen	9/1	17/2	9/1
Star Zinc	14/1	14/1	14/1
Mudamer	20/1	20/1	20/1
Alreet Cha	20/1	20/1	20/1
Deauville	125/1	80/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rogue Encore

25.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

The Cookstown Cafu

21.4

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Titian

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Savvy Exchange

14.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Alreet Cha

13.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Mudamer

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

20/1

The African Queen

10.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Bellarchi

10.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Star Zinc

7.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Deauville

4.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The African Queen	83	87	24
Rogue Encore	80	90	84
Titian	80	93	—
Bellarchi	80	93	—
Mudamer	80	90	—
The Cookstown Cafu	78	90	77
Savvy Exchange	76	93	58
Star Zinc	74	92	73
Alreet Cha	71	88	58
Deauville	67	89	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rogue Encore	10d ago	Quick return
Alreet Cha	10d ago	Quick return
Deauville	13d ago	Quick return
Titian	14d ago	Fit
The Cookstown Cafu	16d ago	Fit
Bellarchi	19d ago	Fit
Savvy Exchange	21d ago	Fit
Star Zinc	39d ago	Fit
Mudamer	59d ago	Fresh
The African Queen	186d ago	Long break