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Newcastle (AW)

19:00 ✓ Result

Arc £1Million Bonus Bigger Than Ever Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-09-30
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,245
Winning Time 1m 27.24s (slow by 3.44s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st 5/1 Won
2nd 11/8F 3.75
3rd 11/2 .75
4th 66/1 .5
5th 16/1 0.3
6th 13/2 0.2
7th 11/1 3.75
8th 50/1 0.05
9th 11/1 1
10th 28/1 2.5
11th 16/1 0.3
12th 80/1 14
13th 50/1 1.75

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
12 (9)
Thanos
Brown
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Harry Charlton
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Harry Charlton
 128 — 679
53
61
31
 27d — — -22
11.4
0.44/1
7/4
36%
Offered little in a trio of 6f novices but he's bred to be better than this mark
3 (7)
Popty Ping
Bay
J:David Nolan
T:David O'Meara
J:David Nolan
T:David O'Meara
 135 — 03247
60
68
41
 10d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run -4
9.9
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Ran well here in June and got behind on nursery debut at Chester
1 (3)
Smartanck
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Richard Hughes
J:P J McDonald
T:Richard Hughes
 141 — 7451
66
65
33
 8d — — +1
19.2
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Penalised for last week's successful nursery debut and only had to be pushed out
9 (12)
Fanjove
Bay
J:Silvestre De Sousa
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Silvestre De Sousa
T:Ed Dunlop
 131 — 50842
56
63
55
 12d — — -1
9.6
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Things have picked up in 7f nurseries; finished well for second in the latest
11 (6)
Hear The Drums
Bay
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
 130 — 088
55
58
-
 36d — — -5
3.5
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Comfortably held in 6f/7f races and on what he's shown this mark is not generous
5 (10)
Baldosa
Bay
J:Faye McManoman
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Faye McManoman
T:Nigel Tinkler
 133 — 0856
58
64
-
 31d — — -3
3.9
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Uncompetitive in 6f/7f novices and again on handicap debut over Beverley's extended 7f
10 (8)
Grey Horizon
Grey
J:Shane Gray
T:Richard Fahey
J:Shane Gray
T:Richard Fahey
 131 — 934748
56
63
50
 15d — — -2
3.7
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Wasn't disgraced in his first two nurseries before a quiet run on soft ground
4 (1)
Moo Deng
gr/b
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Archie Watson
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Archie Watson
 135 p 64764
60
66
37
 27d — — -1
3.8
4.50/1
18/1
5%
0-5 and beaten a shade under 5l in her two nurseries over 7f; down 4lb for those
6 (11)
Sweet Girl
Bay
J:Rowan Scott
T:Michael Dods
J:Rowan Scott
T:Michael Dods
 133 — 966
58
64
-
 21d — — 0
2.9
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Better in final run, though still only sixth of ten and that was on soft ground over 6f
8 (5)
Only Dream Big
Bay
J:Duran Fentiman
T:Tim Easterby
J:Duran Fentiman
T:Tim Easterby
 132 b 577
57
64
-
 21d — — 0
2.5
12.50/1
50/1
2%
Similar RPRs in 6f novices under varying conditions; now goes in blinkers
7 (4)
Miss Boyd
Bay
J:Mark Winn
T:Roger Fell
J:Mark Winn
T:Roger Fell
 132 — 630
57
62
-
 22d — — +2
4.4
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Modest form and handicapper hasn't been overly generous with his initial assessment
2 (2)
Ellie's de Vega
Chestnut
J:William Pyle(3)
T:Noel Wilson
J:William Pyle(3)
T:Noel Wilson
 135 — 490
60
64
6
 26d — — +1
3
20.00/1
80/1
1%
Enters handicaps with much to prove off what could be a harsh mark
13 (13)
Aly Louise
Bay
J:Dylan Hogan
T:Rebecca Menzies
J:Dylan Hogan
T:Rebecca Menzies
 123 — 698
48
61
-
 13d — 0W/0P 1 run -2
0.6
20.00/1
80/1
1%
Pretty much tailed off in novices over 7f/1m and surprising should she raise her profile
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Thanos
 11/8 13/8 13/8 11/8 7/4
Popty Ping
 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
Smartanck
 5/1 4/1 9/2 5/1 4/1
Fanjove
 6/1 6/1 13/2 13/2 13/2
Hear The Drums
 10/1 9/1 9/1 11/1 9/1
Baldosa
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 10/1
Grey Horizon
 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1
Moo Deng
 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1
Sweet Girl
 33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Only Dream Big
 50/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
Miss Boyd
 66/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 50/1
Ellie's de Vega
 80/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 40/1
Aly Louise
 80/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Smartanck
19.2
OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2
5/1
2nd Thanos
11.4
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6
7/4
3rd Popty Ping
9.9
OR: 2.5 Form: 3.4 Odds: 4
11/2
4 Fanjove
9.6
OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1
13/2
5 Miss Boyd
4.4
OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6
66/1
6 Baldosa
3.9
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9
12/1
7 Moo Deng
3.8
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3
18/1
8 Grey Horizon
3.7
OR: 1.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.6
14/1
9 Hear The Drums
3.5
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
11/1
10 Ellie's de Vega
3
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
80/1
11 Sweet Girl
2.9
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
33/1
12 Only Dream Big
2.5
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
50/1
13 Aly Louise
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
80/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Smartanck
66
65
33
Popty Ping
60
68
41
Moo Deng
60
66
37
Ellie's de Vega
60
64
6
Baldosa
58
64
 —
Sweet Girl
58
64
 —
Only Dream Big
57
64
 —
Miss Boyd
57
62
 —
Fanjove
56
63
55
Grey Horizon
56
63
50
Hear The Drums
55
58
 —
Thanos
53
61
31
Aly Louise
48
61
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Smartanck 8d ago Quick return
Popty Ping 10d ago Quick return
Fanjove 12d ago Quick return
Aly Louise 13d ago Quick return
Grey Horizon 15d ago Fit
Sweet Girl 21d ago Fit
Only Dream Big 21d ago Fit
Miss Boyd 22d ago Fit
Ellie's de Vega 26d ago Fit
Thanos 27d ago Fit
Moo Deng 27d ago Fit
Baldosa 31d ago Fit
Hear The Drums 36d ago Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.