Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (No More Than Three Runs) (GBB)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Date 2023-10-20

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 28.92s (slow by 5.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Elegant Appeal (GB) Sam James · K R Burke	18/1	Won
2nd	Frost At Dawn (USA) Ben Curtis · William Knight	9/2	1.25
3rd	South Kensington (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Hugo Palmer	16/5	.75
4th	Elegant Madame (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Dominic Ffrench Davis	5/2F	2.75
5th	Misty Time (GB) Jack Garritty · Mark Walford	40/1	2.75
6th	Last Applause (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	100/30	2.5
7th	Riccoboni (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Edward Bethell	15/2	38

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (6)	Strutting Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Thady Gosden	J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	62	-	90	-	20d	—	—	-45	25	—	—
Form bordering on useful at Newmarket last time and big chance if as good on AW
1 (1)	Elegant Madame Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Hollie Doyle T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	132	—	18	77	81	67	41d	—	—	-5	21.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Out of depth in Listed company last time but leading claims returned to AW
2 (7)	Last Applause Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	132	—	31	74	81	40	16d	—	—	+4	23.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Confirmed debut promise when winning at Catterick last time; penalty to carry but claims
7 (8)	South Kensington Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	50	-	80	-	130d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Promise on debut but well beaten when last seen; needs to improve on this AW debut
4 (5)	Frost At Dawn Grey Roan J:Ben Curtis T:William Knight	J:Ben Curtis T:William Knight	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	0.75/1	4 25%
Sister to an AW winner over a mile; worth a look in the market ahead of racecourse debut
6 (3)	Riccoboni Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Edward Bethell	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Edward Bethell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Winners in pedigree and yard can get one ready first time; interesting runner on debut
3 (2)	Elegant Appeal Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	128	p	06	-	67	-	23d	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Bettered debut effort at Redcar last time; cheekpieces on but good deal more needed
5 (4)	Misty Time Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Winners (including on AW) in pedigree but trainer isn't renowned for debut winners

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Strutting	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Elegant Madame	2	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Last Applause	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2
South Kensington	4	4	4	7/2	4
Frost At Dawn	4	4	4	4	4
Riccoboni	13/2	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Elegant Appeal	25	25	25	25	25
Misty Time	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Strutting

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Last Applause

23.8

OR: 6 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Elegant Madame

21.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 8

9/4

South Kensington

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Frost At Dawn

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

Riccoboni

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Elegant Appeal

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Misty Time

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Elegant Madame	77	81	67
Last Applause	74	81	40
Strutting	—	90	—
South Kensington	—	80	—
Frost At Dawn	—	—	—
Riccoboni	—	—	—
Elegant Appeal	—	67	—
Misty Time	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Last Applause	16d ago	Fit
Strutting	20d ago	Fit
Elegant Appeal	23d ago	Fit
Elegant Madame	41d ago	Fit
South Kensington	130d ago	Long break
Frost At Dawn	—	—
Riccoboni	—	—
Misty Time	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.