FWD Insurance NCB Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Sha Tin

10:20

Date 2023-04-30

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £104,712

Winning Time 1m 23.28s (slow by 2.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Not Usual Star (AUS) L Hewitson · W Y So	169/10	Won
2nd	Beauty Missile (AUS) K C Leung · F C Lor	10/1	0.3
3rd	Good Buddy (NZ) James McDonald · D J Hall	42/10	.5
4th	Silver Sonic (AUS) Harry Bentley · K W Lui	186/1	0.3
5th	Wide Blue Yonder (NZ) Joao Moreira · David A Hayes	7/2F	.75
6th	Unpresuming (IRE) Karis Teetan · J Size	68/10	1.5
7th	Taj Dragon (IRE) C Y Ho · P C Ng	4/1	0.3
8th	Happy Mission (AUS) Zac Purton · T P Yung	84/10	.5
9th	Charity Grace (NZ) Matthew Poon · C S Shum	102/1	.75
10th	Precise Express (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · P F Yiu	77/1	0.05
11th	HK Dragon (JPN) Tom Marquand · Douglas Whyte	26/1	0.3
12th	Capital Legend (AUS) Hugh Bowman · C Fownes	7/1	.5
13th	Circuit Nine (IRE) Matthew Chadwick · A S Cruz	70/1	.5
14th	Seasons Bliss (NZ) L J Ferraris · Jimmy Ting	53/1	2.25

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R15 (15)	Golden Link Bay J:Reserve T:P F Yiu	J:Reserve T:P F Yiu	120	—	-37582	62	94	-	15d	—	—	—	8.6	—	—
Second over 6f two weeks ago and also suited by 7f; can't be ruled out
1 (6)	Charity Grace Chestnut J:Matthew Poon(2) T:C S Shum	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:C S Shum	135	t	55400-	77	94	-	140d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
Ended 2022 with two poor runs; needs to have been refreshed by subsequent break
2 (12)	Capital Legend Chestnut J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	132	t	1-9273	74	91	-	50d	—	—	—	13	—	—
Placed over C&D last month; considered, despite wide draw
3 (2)	Good Buddy Bay J:James McDonald T:D J Hall	J:James McDonald T:D J Hall	132	—	16-038	74	92	-	7d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Finished well for close third over 6f this month and today's return to 7f will suit
4 (7)	Not Usual Star b/br J:L Hewitson T:W Y So	J:L Hewitson T:W Y So	131	ht	-14064	73	93	-	28d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Has held his form pretty well since narrow 6f course win in January; won't be far away
5 (8)	Beauty Missile Brown J:K C Leung T:F C Lor	J:K C Leung T:F C Lor	127	b	2-275	69	92	-	35d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
Has made a good start to his Hong Kong career and probably still has a bigger run in him
6 (4)	Precise Express Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:P F Yiu	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:P F Yiu	127	h	00-600	69	98	-	28d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Well down the field over 1m1f on last two outings and not the obvious answer today
7 (14)	Taj Dragon Bay J:C Y Ho T:P C Ng	J:C Y Ho T:P C Ng	126	—	-06041	68	89	-	21d	—	—	—	14.5	—	—
Improving 4yo who stayed on well for ready C&D win three weeks ago; respected
8 (3)	Happy Mission Bay J:Zac Purton T:T P Yung	J:Zac Purton T:T P Yung	124	ht	9-6454	66	92	-	28d	—	—	—	4	—	—
Close fourth over 6f this month; Zac Purton booked for first attempt at 7f; interesting
9 (10)	Hk Dragon Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Douglas Whyte	J:Tom Marquand T:Douglas Whyte	124	tv	150-17	66	91	-	24d	—	—	—	4	—	—
Eased-down winner in new headgear two runs ago but safely held in this higher grade since
10 (9)	Seasons Bliss Bay J:L J Ferraris T:Jimmy Ting	J:L J Ferraris T:Jimmy Ting	122	—	500-25	64	90	-	28d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Went close at big odds here two starts ago but his overall profile is not convincing
11 (5)	Silver Sonic Brown J:Harry Bentley T:K W Lui	J:Harry Bentley T:K W Lui	121	—	2103-0	63	63	-	35d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Always towards rear of 5f on Hong Kong debut; might fare better over today's trip
12 (11)	Unpresuming Bay J:Karis Teetan T:J Size	J:Karis Teetan T:J Size	121	b	81137	63	89	-	21d	—	—	—	13.4	—	—
Low-mileage 4yo; placed in this higher grade since pair of C&D Class 4 wins in Jan/Feb
13 (13)	Circuit Nine Grey J:Matthew Chadwick T:A S Cruz	J:Matthew Chadwick T:A S Cruz	119	htb	110-00	61	96	-	63d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Has struggled to get competitive in all three handicaps this season
14 (1)	Wide Blue Yonder Bay J:Joao Moreira T:David A Hayes	J:Joao Moreira T:David A Hayes	119	tb	029381	61	99	-	15d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Up in grade after recent C&D win but has the inside draw and Joao Moreira rides

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wide Blue Yonder

15.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Taj Dragon

14.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Unpresuming

13.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 0

—

Capital Legend

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Golden Link

8.6

OR: 3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0

—

Beauty Missile

8.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Not Usual Star

7.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Charity Grace

6.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Good Buddy

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Precise Express

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Happy Mission

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Hk Dragon

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Seasons Bliss

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Silver Sonic

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Circuit Nine

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Charity Grace	77	94	—
Capital Legend	74	91	—
Good Buddy	74	92	—
Not Usual Star	73	93	—
Beauty Missile	69	92	—
Precise Express	69	98	—
Taj Dragon	68	89	—
Happy Mission	66	92	—
Hk Dragon	66	91	—
Seasons Bliss	64	90	—
Silver Sonic	63	63	—
Unpresuming	63	89	—
Golden Link	62	94	—
Circuit Nine	61	96	—
Wide Blue Yonder	61	99	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Good Buddy	7d ago	Quick return
Golden Link	15d ago	Fit
Wide Blue Yonder	15d ago	Fit
Taj Dragon	21d ago	Fit
Unpresuming	21d ago	Fit
Hk Dragon	24d ago	Fit
Not Usual Star	28d ago	Fit
Precise Express	28d ago	Fit
Happy Mission	28d ago	Fit
Seasons Bliss	28d ago	Fit
Beauty Missile	35d ago	Fit
Silver Sonic	35d ago	Fit
Capital Legend	50d ago	Fresh
Circuit Nine	63d ago	Fresh
Charity Grace	140d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Based on 14 draws with historical results at this course and distance.