Newcastle (AW)

17:45

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-11-03
Distance 5f
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,873

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
9 (9)
Elzaal
Bay
J:Graham Lee
T:Paul Midgley
J:Graham Lee
T:Paul Midgley
127 653022
60
83
72
21d 0
16.9
0.75/1
4
25%
Loves it here and has been a touch unlucky the past twice; has to go on the shortlist
2 (7)
Captain's Bar
Bay
J:Dale Swift
T:Scott Dixon
J:Dale Swift
T:Scott Dixon
137 p 279-01
70
79
60
4d -6
9.4
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Has fair claims under the penalty for Monday's C&D win back in headgear
4 (4)
Jenever
Bay
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Jessica Macey
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Jessica Macey
135 521221
68
79
21
86d +16
27.8
1.25/1
6
17%
Needs to be spot on back from a break, having a second run over 5f off a career-high mark
3 (2)
Star Of Lady M
Grey
J:David Nolan
T:David O'Meara
J:David Nolan
T:David O'Meara
136 v 470853
69
79
60
8d 0
10.6
1.50/1
7
14%
Competitive again now and has claims on last week's Lingfield third (AW debut)
7 (6)
Ramon Di Loria
Chestnut
J:Ryan Sexton(3)
T:Ewan Whillans
J:Ryan Sexton(3)
T:Ewan Whillans
133 440350
66
75
-
22d -3
8.8
1.25/1
6
17%
C&D winner last autumn who's had a busy year and lost his way latterly
1 (5)
Runninwild
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Ann Duffield
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Ann Duffield
137 -76949
70
74
-
63d -2
7.7
1.88/1
15/2
12%
This is easier than he's used to; could do better if able to get to the front as he likes
5 (8)
Honour Your Dreams
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Adrian Paul Keatley
J:P J McDonald
T:Adrian Paul Keatley
134 072085
67
81
-
32d 0
8.1
2.00/1
9
11%
Headgear helped in the summer but he's been rather patchy since; risks involved
8 (10)
Aconcagua Mountain
Bay
J:Sam James
T:Iain Jardine
J:Sam James
T:Iain Jardine
128 b 742146
61
81
56
21d +4
11.4
2.25/1
10
10%
Below-par in two runs since a win off 5lb lower; needs to settle from an outside stall
6 (3)
Saaheq
Bay
J:Mia Nicholls(7)
T:Adrian Nicholls
J:Mia Nicholls(7)
T:Adrian Nicholls
134 p 648069
67
81
-
37d 0
6
3.75/1
16
6%
Getting on and has rather struggled on turf lately, but is fairly treated as a result
10 (1)
Sound Of Iona
Chestnut
J:Amie Waugh(5)
T:Jim Goldie
J:Amie Waugh(5)
T:Jim Goldie
124 506500
57
81
-
22d 0
2.5
9.75/1
40
3%
Regressed sharply this year, coming 20lb down the weights; hard to recommend
Horse bet365 Coral
Elzaal
4 4
Captain's Bar
9/2 9/2
Jenever
6 6
Star Of Lady M
7 7
Ramon Di Loria
6 6
Runninwild
15/2 15/2
Honour Your Dreams
9 8
Aconcagua Mountain
10 10
Saaheq
16 16
Sound Of Iona
40 40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Jenever
27.8
OR: 4.5 Form: 20 Odds: 3.3
6
2nd Elzaal
16.9
OR: 2.5 Form: 9.4 Odds: 5
4
3rd Aconcagua Mountain
11.4
OR: 2.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1
10
4 Star Of Lady M
10.6
OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9
7
5 Captain's Bar
9.4
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
9/2
6 Ramon Di Loria
8.8
OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3
6
7 Honour Your Dreams
8.1
OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4
9
8 Runninwild
7.7
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
15/2
9 Saaheq
6
OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
16
10 Sound Of Iona
2.5
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Captain's Bar
70
79
60
Runninwild
70
74
Star Of Lady M
69
79
60
Jenever
68
79
21
Honour Your Dreams
67
81
Saaheq
67
81
Ramon Di Loria
66
75
Aconcagua Mountain
61
81
56
Elzaal
60
83
72
Sound Of Iona
57
81

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Captain's Bar 4d ago Quick return
Star Of Lady M 8d ago Quick return
Elzaal 21d ago Fit
Aconcagua Mountain 21d ago Fit
Ramon Di Loria 22d ago Fit
Sound Of Iona 22d ago Fit
Honour Your Dreams 32d ago Fit
Saaheq 37d ago Fit
Runninwild 63d ago Fresh
Jenever 86d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.