BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:15

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-11-03

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 59.82s (slow by 2.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Paddy's Day (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	9/1	Won
2nd	Pepsi Cat (IRE) Dougie Costello · Steph Hollinshead	13/2	1
3rd	Sixcor (GB) Andrew Breslin · Linda Perratt	33/1	1
4th	Rodborough (GB) Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	7/4F	0.2
5th	Zuffolo (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	9/1	.5
6th	Stone Of Destiny (GB) Billy Loughnane · Michael Appleby	5/1	0.3
7th	Newyorkstateofmind (GB) Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	6/1	2.75
8th	Murbih (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	22/1	.75
9th	Dapper Man (IRE) Jason Hart · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	28/1	0.1
10th	Ernest Rutherford (GB) Jack Garritty · Tim Easterby	14/1	0.3

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Rodborough Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	136	p	570112	69	81	71	32d	—	—	+1	31.2	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Cheekpieces have helped; solid second over C&D a month ago; goes on the shortlist
3 (2)	Stone Of Destiny Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	136	—	765223	69	79	48	8d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.00/1	5 20%
Consistent and will be happier back down from 6f; remains quite capable at this level
6 (3)	Newyorkstateofmind Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	134	p	738724	67	81	53	8d	—	—	-1	12	1.25/1	6 17%
Beaten favourite behind Stone Of Destiny last Thursday; needs to better that somewhat
7 (10)	Pepsi Cat Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	134	t	055122	67	84	22	45d	—	—	+9	21.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Better for the return to 5f on turf in late summer; shortlisted back from a short break
1 (6)	Paddy's Day Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	137	—	368555	70	80	56	8d	—	—	-1	7.5	1.75/1	8 13%
No excuses back on the AW last time; needs to improve on his four previous Tapeta efforts
2 (8)	Zuffolo Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	137	—	107784	70	80	-	37d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Showed more latest and is back to just below his last winning mark; one to consider
9 (4)	Ernest Rutherford Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Tim Easterby	J:Jack Garritty T:Tim Easterby	128	tp	882087	61	83	-	24d	—	—	+1	5.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Ex-Irish gelding who's regressed since returning from an absence; isn't obviously fancied
5 (1)	Murbih Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	134	—	223938	67	81	67	7d	—	—	+5	9.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Remains fairly treated but too many near-misses at short prices for comfort
8 (5)	Dapper Man Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	128	—	122165	61	82	56	21d	—	—	+8	11.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Entitled to have come on for his comeback from a summer break but is weighted to his best
10 (9)	Sixcor Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	124	p	519537	57	82	-	18d	—	—	+3	6.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Yard going well; has done his winning on turf in the summer; others in better form

Horse	bet365	Coral
Rodborough	2	15/8
Stone Of Destiny	5	5
Newyorkstateofmind	6	6
Pepsi Cat	13/2	13/2
Paddy's Day	8	8
Zuffolo	9	9
Ernest Rutherford	14	14
Murbih	18	18
Dapper Man	33	33
Sixcor	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rodborough

31.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 17 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Pepsi Cat

21.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Stone Of Destiny

17.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 9 Odds: 4

Newyorkstateofmind

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 3.6

Dapper Man

11.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1

Murbih

9.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 4 Odds: 1.4

Paddy's Day

7.5

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Zuffolo

7.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Sixcor

6.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1

Ernest Rutherford

5.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Paddy's Day	70	80	56
Zuffolo	70	80	—
Rodborough	69	81	71
Stone Of Destiny	69	79	48
Newyorkstateofmind	67	81	53
Pepsi Cat	67	84	22
Murbih	67	81	67
Ernest Rutherford	61	83	—
Dapper Man	61	82	56
Sixcor	57	82	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Murbih	7d ago	Quick return
Stone Of Destiny	8d ago	Quick return
Newyorkstateofmind	8d ago	Quick return
Paddy's Day	8d ago	Quick return
Sixcor	18d ago	Fit
Dapper Man	21d ago	Fit
Ernest Rutherford	24d ago	Fit
Rodborough	32d ago	Fit
Zuffolo	37d ago	Fit
Pepsi Cat	45d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.