Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:05

Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 2m56y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 3m 37.71s (slow by 7.91s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Aqwaam (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Ian Williams	3/1	Won
2nd	Animato (GB) David Nolan · David O'Meara	12/1	.75
3rd	Valley Of Flowers (IRE) Joanna Mason · Jacqueline Coward	14/1	0.3
4th	Pons Aelius (IRE) Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	11/2	1.75
5th	Sarsons Risk (IRE) Dougie Costello · B F Brookhouse	17/2	.5
6th	Haaland (IRE) Robert Havlin · Gay Kelleway	7/4F	1
7th	Balhambar (FR) Luke Morris · Michael Bell	12/1	0.1
8th	Mukha Magic (GB) George Bass · Gay Kelleway	28/1	4.25
9th	Ebony Maw (GB) P J McDonald · Ewan Whillans	25/1	2.75
10th	Award Dancer (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	40/1	99

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Haaland Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Gay Kelleway	J:Robert Havlin T:Gay Kelleway	133	p	135631	78	85	60	28d	—	—	-4	30.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Made it 3-8 on AW when surging 6l clear over C&D last time; big player again up 7lb
2 (3)	Aqwaam Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	143	—	242021	81	85	76	10d	—	—	+8	28.9	0.50/1	3 33%
Clearcut win at Chelmsford (1m6f) ten days ago and he's respected under a penalty
4 (8)	Pons Aelius Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	140	—	145746	78	87	52	48d	—	—	0	9.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Drops back in grade after a short break but he needs to bounce back near best
3 (7)	Sarsons Risk Grey J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	142	t	112-60	80	84	15	—	—	—	+1	9.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Disappointing under both codes last twice and has some questions to answer on return
1 (5)	Balhambar Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Bell	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Bell	144	p	10-345	82	83	49	16d	—	—	+3	10.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Lightly raced 4yo who still has potential and looks interesting at this new trip
5 (10)	Animato Chestnut J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	139	p	862433	77	86	-	17d	—	—	+9	15	3.25/1	14 7%
Had an excuse on heavy latest and is still unexposed at 2m but others are more persuasive
9 (4)	Valley Of Flowers Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	132	h	411136	70	83	79	18d	—	—	+13	18.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Won three in a row in the autumn but she's been vulnerable in last two runs; work to do
10 (2)	Ebony Maw Bay J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	125	—	532131	63	84	63	17d	—	—	+20	23.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Resurgent 6yo but this is a big step back up in grade and others look stronger
6 (1)	Award Dancer Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	138	—	403410	76	84	-	18d	—	—	+13	15.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Won over 1m6f at Redcar last month but he flopped back here last time; risks attached
7 (9)	Mukha Magic Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Gay Kelleway	J:George Bass(3) T:Gay Kelleway	133	tb	432759	71	83	74	39d	—	—	+5	8.1	9.75/1	40 3%
11-time winner but he's been generally disappointing since his last success in June

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Haaland	6/4	6/4	11/8	6/4	6/4
Aqwaam	3	3	3	3	3
Pons Aelius	7	13/2	7	7	15/2
Sarsons Risk	8	9	17/2	9	9
Balhambar	10	10	10	10	9/1
Animato	14	14	12/1	14	12
Valley Of Flowers	16	18	18	18	20
Ebony Maw	25	25	25	25	22
Award Dancer	33	33	28	33	28
Mukha Magic	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Haaland

30.4

OR: 7 Form: 12.7 Odds: 10.7

6/4

2nd

Aqwaam

28.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 15 Odds: 6.2

3rd

Ebony Maw

23.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 19.2 Odds: 0.9

Valley Of Flowers

18.5

OR: 5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.4

Award Dancer

15.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0.7

Animato

OR: 6.8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 1.6

Balhambar

10.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Pons Aelius

9.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Sarsons Risk

9.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Mukha Magic

8.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Balhambar	82	83	49
Aqwaam	81	85	76
Sarsons Risk	80	84	15
Haaland	78	85	60
Pons Aelius	78	87	52
Animato	77	86	—
Award Dancer	76	84	—
Mukha Magic	71	83	74
Valley Of Flowers	70	83	79
Ebony Maw	63	84	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aqwaam	10d ago	Quick return
Balhambar	16d ago	Fit
Animato	17d ago	Fit
Ebony Maw	17d ago	Fit
Valley Of Flowers	18d ago	Fit
Award Dancer	18d ago	Fit
Haaland	28d ago	Fit
Mukha Magic	39d ago	Fit
Pons Aelius	48d ago	Fresh
Sarsons Risk	—	—