Festive Celebrations At The Grand Hotel Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Festive Celebrations At The Grand Hotel Handicap

Date 2024-10-04

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 58.96s (slow by 1.46s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Azucena (IRE) David Allan · Ann Duffield	17/2	Won
2nd	Howzak (GB) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	16/1	1.75
3rd	Rockley Point (GB) William Pyle · Katie Scott	8/1	0.05
4th	Better (IRE) Dougie Costello · Paul Midgley	33/1	0.2
5th	Kyber Crystal (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Rebecca Menzies	3/1F	.5
6th	Musical Diva (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	9/2	1.75
7th	Street Life (GB) Rhys Elliott · Patrick Morris	5/1	0.05
8th	Silky Robin (IRE) Mark Winn · Paul Midgley	5/1	.75
9th	Never This Way (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	16/1	9

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Kyber Crystal Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	133	t	614312	56	73	43	2d	—	—	-4	26.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Has won twice on turf in recent months and looked unlucky on Wednesday; major player
5 (6)	Musical Diva Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	132	v	225634	55	70	59	10d	—	—	-7	8.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-15 since winning twice on January; edging back down the weights; shouldn't be far away
8 (2)	Street Life Chestnut J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Patrick Morris	125	v	022392	48	71	62	5d	—	—	-1	13	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Dual C&D winner who has been placed in four of his last five starts; each-way claims again
1 (5)	Silky Robin Chestnut J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	137	—	-06044	60	67	-	51d	—	—	-5	5.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Takes quite a drop in grade on first start since wind surgery; watch market
9 (7)	Rockley Point Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Katie Scott	J:William Pyle(3) T:Katie Scott	123	b	287503	46	71	61	3d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Finished third of 12 here on Tuesday; not dismissed provided this doesn't come too soon
3 (1)	Azucena Bay J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	133	—	8-3707	56	72	55	17d	—	—	-4	3.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Little to shout about in two starts since returning from wind surgery last month
7 (9)	Never This Way Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	h	689070	52	72	55	50d	—	—	-4	2.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Out of the frame in all eight outings for this yard; down another 2lb but hard to warm to
2 (4)	Howzak Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	137	—	215350	60	71	47	10d	—	—	+3	7.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
All five AW wins have come on Polytrack; well held in both starts here for this yard
6 (3)	Better Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Paul Midgley	J:Dougie Costello T:Paul Midgley	132	—	754006	55	67	34	74d	—	—	-1	2.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Wolverhampton nursery winner for George Boughey, but not shown much for this yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kyber Crystal	13/8	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4
Musical Diva	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Street Life	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Silky Robin	15/2	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Rockley Point	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Azucena	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Never This Way	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Howzak	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Better	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kyber Crystal

26.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Street Life

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Musical Diva

8.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Howzak

7.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Silky Robin

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Rockley Point

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Azucena

3.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Never This Way

2.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Better

2.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Silky Robin	60	67	—
Howzak	60	71	47
Kyber Crystal	56	73	43
Azucena	56	72	55
Musical Diva	55	70	59
Better	55	67	34
Never This Way	52	72	55
Street Life	48	71	62
Rockley Point	46	71	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kyber Crystal	2d ago	Quick return
Rockley Point	3d ago	Quick return
Street Life	5d ago	Quick return
Musical Diva	10d ago	Quick return
Howzak	10d ago	Quick return
Azucena	17d ago	Fit
Never This Way	50d ago	Fresh
Silky Robin	51d ago	Fresh
Better	74d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.