Timeform Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) – Cheltenham

Cheltenham

12:40

Timeform Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Date 2024-01-27

Distance 2m4f127y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £20,812

Winning Time 5m 20.34s (slow by 12.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ginny's Destiny (IRE) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	4/1F	Won
2nd	Theatre Man (IRE) Harry Bannister · Richard J Bandey	13/2	2.75
3rd	Es Perfecto (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Alan King	6/1	3.5
4th	Prairie Wolf (IRE) Charlie Deutsch · Sue Smith	10/1	3.5
5th	Bowtogreatness (IRE) Ben Jones · Ben Pauling	28/1	13
6th	Blow Your Wad (IRE) Stan Sheppard · Tom Lacey	9/2	.5
6th	Charles Ritz (GB) Jonathan Burke · Tom George	12/1	0
8th	Railway Hurricane (IRE) Sam Twiston-Davies · Gavin Cromwell	22/1	15
9th	Unexpected Party (FR) Fergus Gillard · Dan Skelton	25/1	13

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Happy And Fine (FR) Bryan Carver · Alex Hales	28/1
P.U.	Persian Time (GB) James Bowen · Nicky Henderson	12/1
P.U.	Tightenourbelts (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	17/2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Ginny's Destiny Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	168	—	23-711	147	153	132	43d	—	—	+10	30.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Bold front-running displays in 2m4f chases on both courses here; has better to come
12	Es Perfecto Chestnut J:Gavin Sheehan T:Alan King	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Alan King	144	—	/3-323	123	152	133	32d	—	—	+10	24.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Weights chance with Ginny's Destiny and Blow Your Wad on 2m4f chase form; can do better
2	Blow Your Wad Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	162	t	19-221	141	152	129	32d	—	—	+14	26.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Lacks Cheltenham experience; looked a novice to follow when Kempton winner latest (2m4f)
6	Theatre Man Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Richard J Bandey	J:Harry Bannister T:Richard J Bandey	155	—	121-23	134	153	127	38d	—	—	+14	23.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Front-runner; has taken well to fences; outstayed over 2m7f of late; 2m4f can suit better
11	Prairie Wolf Brown J:Charlie Deutsch T:Sue Smith	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Sue Smith	144	p	7-2331	123	149	101	43d	—	—	+12	20.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Had plenty to spare on 2nd chase run (2m4f); other progressive rivals this time
4	Tightenourbelts Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	159	—	21-134	138	149	129	32d	—	—	+16	24.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Much too good when winning 2m4f handicap off 14lb lower on chase debut; highly tried since
7	Persian Time Bay J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	154	—	2P2-21	133	151	113	36d	—	—	+16	22.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Up against it on handicap/chase debut; inherited 2m1f Ascot race next time; stamina query
10	Charles Ritz Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Tom George	J:Jonathan Burke T:Tom George	144	—	/642-1	123	156	136	26d	—	—	+24	30	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Reserves of stamina when 2m3f winner on heavy last month; more turbulent waters today
9	Railway Hurricane Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Gavin Cromwell	150	tb	1P223F	129	153	139	42d	—	—	+20	25.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Chase strike-rate of 1-26; well held behind Ginny's Destiny here in November; fell latest
5	Bowtogreatness b/br J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	156	—	5P02-P	135	152	120	28d	—	—	+18	22.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
0-7 as chaser; chance on 2m3f/3m1f form last winter but made a disappointing reappearance
3	Unexpected Party Grey J:Fergus Gillard T:Dan Skelton	J:Fergus Gillard T:Dan Skelton	162	t	3-1554	141	153	135	36d	—	—	+22	25.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Chasing since November 2022, sole win in 2m3f Listed race; well-held 3rd in this last year
8	Happy And Fine Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Alex Hales	J:Bryan Carver T:Alex Hales	152	p	33-311	131	147	128	28d	—	—	+18	21.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Natural jumper who is improving in 2m4f chases; up 8lb for latest win; tougher race today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Ginny's Destiny	3/1	10/3	11/4	7/2	11/4
Es Perfecto	5/1	11/2	11/2	9/2	5/1
Blow Your Wad	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Theatre Man	8/1	15/2	17/2	15/2	8/1
Prairie Wolf	10/1	9/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Tightenourbelts	10/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Persian Time	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Charles Ritz	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Railway Hurricane	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Bowtogreatness	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Unexpected Party	20/1	22/1	25/1	18/1	25/1
Happy And Fine	33/1	20/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ginny's Destiny

30.4

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Charles Ritz

OR: 18.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

Blow Your Wad

26.4

OR: 22.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Unexpected Party

25.9

OR: 22.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Railway Hurricane

25.4

OR: 19.8 Form: 4.3 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Es Perfecto

24.4

OR: 18.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Tightenourbelts

24.4

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Theatre Man

23.7

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Persian Time

22.7

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Bowtogreatness

22.6

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Happy And Fine

21.2

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Prairie Wolf

20.5

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ginny's Destiny	147	153	132
Blow Your Wad	141	152	129
Unexpected Party	141	153	135
Tightenourbelts	138	149	129
Bowtogreatness	135	152	120
Theatre Man	134	153	127
Persian Time	133	151	113
Happy And Fine	131	147	128
Railway Hurricane	129	153	139
Es Perfecto	123	152	133
Prairie Wolf	123	149	101
Charles Ritz	123	156	136

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charles Ritz	26d ago	Fit
Bowtogreatness	28d ago	Fit
Happy And Fine	28d ago	Fit
Es Perfecto	32d ago	Fit
Blow Your Wad	32d ago	Fit
Tightenourbelts	32d ago	Fit
Persian Time	36d ago	Fit
Unexpected Party	36d ago	Fit
Theatre Man	38d ago	Fit
Railway Hurricane	42d ago	Fit
Ginny's Destiny	43d ago	Fit
Prairie Wolf	43d ago	Fit