Racing TV Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

17:40

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Winning Time 1m 25.66s (slow by 1.06s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Char (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · Roger Varian	8/11F	Won
2nd	Bouvier (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	5/1	5
3rd	Warrnambool (GER) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	28/1	1
4th	Spirit Of Albion (IRE) Robert Havlin · Amanda Perrett	18/1	.75
5th	Kodi Fire (IRE) William Cox · Charles Hills	25/1	.75
6th	Prince Of Joy (GB) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	100/1	1.25
7th	Arinagour (GB) Finley Marsh · Paul & Oliver Cole	33/1	.5
8th	Friday Again (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	125/1	1.75
9th	El Bosh (GB) George Wood · Harry Eustace	11/4	.75
10th	I'm Workin On It (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Rod Millman	50/1	0.05
11th	Unfortunate Heir (GB) Saffie Osborne · Clive Cox	66/1	5.5
12th	Invincible Storm (IRE) George Bass · Ed de Giles	250/1	5.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Char Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	133	—	2	-	85	-	20d	—	—	-34	25	0.13/1	8/15 65%
Good 2nd on Salisbury debut (7f, heavy) 3 weeks ago; leading claims with progress expected
11 (11)	Bouvier Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Oisin Murphy T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	126	—	3273	81	93	49	18d	—	—	+1	19.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Goodwood second sets the standard; found out by 6f latest and this trip more suitable
2 (4)	El Bosh Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	4.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
38,000gns half-brother to Cambridgeshire winner Liberty Lane (RPR 117); newcomer of note
5 (7)	Kodi Fire Brown J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	131	—	94	-	77	42	33d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Second run was better than his debut; looks ready for 7f; more appealing than many
7 (2)	Spirit Of Albion Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Amanda Perrett	J:Robert Havlin T:Amanda Perrett	131	—	6	-	46	-	26d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Well-beaten 125-1 shot on Newmarket debut last month (7f, soft); big step forward needed
4 (1)	Warrnambool Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Half-brother to two winners in Europe; likely one for further down the line
12 (10)	Arinagour Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Finley Marsh T:Paul & Oliver Cole	124	—	65	-	70	-	39d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Modest form in two turf starts last month; one for handicaps over further after this
9 (8)	Unfortunate Heir Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Clive Cox	J:Saffie Osborne T:Clive Cox	129	—	8	-	51	-	33d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
In need of the experience on his debut here (6f) last month; needs a big step forward
3 (3)	I'm Workin On It Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	133	—	90	-	65	51	14d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Needs to step up on the form he's shown in two runs this autumn; handicaps beckon
6 (6)	Prince Of Joy Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	131	—	78	-	63	45	25d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Two runs not devoid of promise but handicaps more suitable after this
10 (12)	Friday Again Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	128	—	8	-	67	41	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Hint of ability amidst greenness when 200-1 here 12 days ago (6f); longer-term prospect
8 (9)	Invincible Storm Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Ed de Giles	J:George Bass(3) T:Ed de Giles	129	—	00	-	43	26	18d	—	—	0	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Well beaten in two 7f runs at Wolverhampton this autumn; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Char	4/9	8/15	1/2	1/2	2/5
Bouvier	5/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
El Bosh	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	15/2
Kodi Fire	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Spirit Of Albion	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Warrnambool	40/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	28/1
Arinagour	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Unfortunate Heir	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
I'm Workin On It	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Prince Of Joy	200/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Friday Again	200/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Invincible Storm	300/1	250/1	250/1	125/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Char

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

8/15

2nd

Bouvier

19.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 6.4 Odds: 5.4

5/1

3rd

El Bosh

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

15/2

Kodi Fire

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Spirit Of Albion

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Arinagour

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Warrnambool

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Unfortunate Heir

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

I'm Workin On It

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Prince Of Joy

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Friday Again

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Invincible Storm

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bouvier	81	93	49
Char	—	85	—
El Bosh	—	—	—
Kodi Fire	—	77	42
Spirit Of Albion	—	46	—
Warrnambool	—	—	—
Arinagour	—	70	—
Unfortunate Heir	—	51	—
I'm Workin On It	—	65	51
Prince Of Joy	—	63	45
Friday Again	—	67	41
Invincible Storm	—	43	26

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Friday Again	12d ago	Quick return
I'm Workin On It	14d ago	Fit
Bouvier	18d ago	Fit
Invincible Storm	18d ago	Fit
Char	20d ago	Fit
Prince Of Joy	25d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Albion	26d ago	Fit
Kodi Fire	33d ago	Fit
Unfortunate Heir	33d ago	Fit
Arinagour	39d ago	Fit
El Bosh	—	—
Warrnambool	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.