Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

13:55

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-11-03

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 2m 10.18s (slow by 3.68s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Final Check (IRE) Jason Hart · John S O'Donoghue	100/30J	Won
2nd	Barley (IRE) Ben Robinson · Tim Easterby	8/1	1.25
3rd	Ayr Poet (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	14/1	2.25
4th	Real Terms (GB) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer	5/1	0.3
5th	Tarbaan (IRE) Adam Farragher · Amy Murphy	100/30J	.5
6th	Skilled Warrior (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	13/2	4
7th	Glasses Up (USA) Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	33/1	0.05
8th	Bashful (GB) William Pyle · Iain Jardine	7/1	.75
9th	Tilsitt (FR) P J McDonald · R Mike Smith	18/1	4
10th	First Dynasty (USA) Tom Eaves · Sam England	40/1	16
11th	Ciara Storm (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	125/1	2

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Tarbaan Chestnut J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Amy Murphy	138	tp	493431	80	89	43	45d	—	—	+7	26.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won at Yarmouth last month; back up 6lb but had something in hand so can go well again
8 (7)	Final Check Bay J:Jason Hart T:John S O'Donoghue	J:Jason Hart T:John S O'Donoghue	127	—	675121	72	87	-	51d	—	—	+11	29.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Progressive Irish filly; stylish Punchestown scorer latest; bold showing on the cards
5 (6)	Real Terms Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	137	—	-65731	79	90	-	57d	—	—	+10	23	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Resumed winning ways in good style at Haydock last month; this C&D winner rates a player
3 (8)	Bashful Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	138	tp	130461	80	88	18	22d	—	—	+10	21.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Gained fourth win of season at Ayr latest; C&D scorer; in the picture despite 3lb rise
2 (9)	Skilled Warrior Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	138	—	000733	80	82	20	18d	—	—	+5	15.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Course winner who arrives in good nick; in the mix now returned to 1m2f
4 (10)	Barley Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Tim Easterby	J:Ben Robinson T:Tim Easterby	137	—	-66006	79	85	54	11d	—	—	+1	9.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Hinted at revival with Wolverhampton 6th; yard going really well so not without interest
10 (4)	Ayr Poet Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	127	—	321332	69	87	-	22d	—	—	+13	19.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Three-time scorer at Ayr this term and good 2nd there latest; ought to be in the shake-up
7 (2)	Tilsitt Bay J:P J McDonald T:R Mike Smith	J:P J McDonald T:R Mike Smith	129	tv	244546	71	90	-	22d	—	—	+1	7	3.25/1	14 7%
C&D scorer but it's now 16 outings since his last victory; others appeal more
9 (3)	Glasses Up Chestnut J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	127	p	124675	69	87	-	31d	—	—	+4	6.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Arrives in good order, solid Ayr fifth last time; he's one for the shortlist eased 1lb
6 (5)	First Dynasty Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	136	—	3-3120	78	87	52	134d	—	—	+7	9.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Off since finishing last at Chelmsford in June; needs to bounce back for new yard
11 (1)	Ciara Storm Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	121	—	030-4	66	81	-	158d	—	—	+3	4.4	31.00/1	125 1%
Off since last of four at Windsor in May for the Meades; needs to hit the ground running

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tarbaan	3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Final Check	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Real Terms	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5
Bashful	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Skilled Warrior	7	6	13/2	13/2	6/1
Barley	10	9	9	9	8
Ayr Poet	12	11	12	12	11
Tilsitt	14	14	12	12/1	12/1
Glasses Up	28	28	28	28	33/1
First Dynasty	33	33	33	33	33
Ciara Storm	80	100	125	100	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Final Check

29.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Tarbaan

26.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 13 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Real Terms

OR: 7.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Bashful

21.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ayr Poet

19.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.6 Odds: 1.7

Skilled Warrior

15.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.1

13/2

First Dynasty

9.8

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

Barley

9.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Tilsitt

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Glasses Up

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ciara Storm

4.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tarbaan	80	89	43
Bashful	80	88	18
Skilled Warrior	80	82	20
Real Terms	79	90	—
Barley	79	85	54
First Dynasty	78	87	52
Final Check	72	87	—
Tilsitt	71	90	—
Ayr Poet	69	87	—
Glasses Up	69	87	—
Ciara Storm	66	81	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Barley	11d ago	Quick return
Skilled Warrior	18d ago	Fit
Bashful	22d ago	Fit
Ayr Poet	22d ago	Fit
Tilsitt	22d ago	Fit
Glasses Up	31d ago	Fit
Tarbaan	45d ago	Fit
Final Check	51d ago	Fresh
Real Terms	57d ago	Fresh
First Dynasty	134d ago	Long break
Ciara Storm	158d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.