Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:40

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2023-11-03

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 1m 43.96s (slow by 6.96s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hortzadar (GB) David Nolan · David O'Meara	22/1	Won
2nd	Star Shield (GB) Ben Robinson · David O'Meara	8/1	0.3
3rd	Showmedemoney (IRE) William Pyle · Iain Jardine	14/1	.5
4th	Irish Flame (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	9/2	0.05
5th	Bicep (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	7/2	.5
6th	Perfect Swiss (GB) Cam Hardie · Tim Easterby	18/1	1.5
7th	Dion Baker (IRE) Adam Farragher · Michael Wigham	50/1	0.3
8th	Victoria Falls (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Hugo Palmer	6/1	0.3
9th	Million Thanks (IRE) Oisin Orr · Rebecca Menzies	20/1	0.3
10th	Create (IRE) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	17/2	10

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
RR	Vindobala (IRE) Tom Eaves · Sam England	100/30F

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Vindobala Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	135	t	03R941	72	85	56	3d	—	—	-3	23.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
In good mood when winning over C&D on Tuesday; leading claims if in the same frame of mind
9 (6)	Irish Flame Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	134	p	586253	71	83	51	17d	—	—	0	15.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Solid effort over C&D off this mark last time; there's no obvious reason he won't go well
4 (2)	Victoria Falls Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Hugo Palmer	J:Billy Loughnane T:Hugo Palmer	137	v	452112	74	85	-	36d	—	—	+15	28.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent filly who's found a burst of improvement on turf lately; goes on the shortlist
2 (11)	Bicep Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	139	—	800201	76	86	56	14d	—	—	+11	22.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Stamina to prove over this far, while a 5lb rise takes him back up to a career-high mark
6 (9)	Star Shield Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	134	p	154086	71	88	42	17d	—	—	-2	7.9	1.75/1	8 13%
Didn't find things panning out his way behind Irish Flame latest; one to consider down 2lb
10 (12)	Create Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	133	—	125	72	80	64	25d	—	—	+9	16.1	2.50/1	11 9%
The return to Tapeta looks in her favour; is open to improvement, so needs considering
8 (10)	Showmedemoney Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	134	tp	906103	71	83	-	21d	—	—	+8	15.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Erratic but having experienced William Pyle claiming 5lb won't hurt
12 (7)	Perfect Swiss Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	129	—	550254	66	88	60	86d	—	—	+2	8.1	3.25/1	14 7%
On a handy mark and is quite capable of adding to his three C&D wins if things pan out
3 (4)	Million Thanks Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Oisin Orr T:Rebecca Menzies	139	t	527008	76	79	52	21d	—	—	+4	8.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Just a single win to go with plenty of short-priced defeats; well held for new yard latest
1 (1)	Hortzadar Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	139	p	660120	76	83	-	27d	—	—	+12	16.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Late in the day to be making his AW debut; others hold stronger claims this time
NR (3)	Sycamore Bay J:TBC T:Scott Dixon	J: T:Scott Dixon	131	—	4002-0	68	85	-	25d	—	—	+2	5.4	9.75/1	40 3%
Little encouragement back from 11 months off recently; Create looks his yard's number one
7 (5)	Dion Baker Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Wigham	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Wigham	134	p	102208	71	84	37	8d	—	—	+7	10	9.75/1	40 3%
A testing 1m is at the upper end stamina-wise and he's high in the weights now

Horse	bet365	Coral
Vindobala	11/4	5/2
Irish Flame	9/2	9/2
Victoria Falls	11/2	5
Bicep	7	7
Star Shield	8	8
Create	9	11
Showmedemoney	12	12
Perfect Swiss	14	14
Million Thanks	14	16
Hortzadar	20	20
Sycamore	40	40
Dion Baker	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Victoria Falls

28.5

OR: 6 Form: 18.5 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Vindobala

23.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 10.2 Odds: 8

11/4

3rd

Bicep

22.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 3.1

Create

16.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.1

Hortzadar

16.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.1

Irish Flame

15.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Showmedemoney

15.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.9

Dion Baker

OR: 5.3 Form: 4 Odds: 0.7

Million Thanks

8.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

Perfect Swiss

8.1

OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

Star Shield

7.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Sycamore

5.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bicep	76	86	56
Million Thanks	76	79	52
Hortzadar	76	83	—
Victoria Falls	74	85	—
Vindobala	72	85	56
Create	72	80	64
Irish Flame	71	83	51
Star Shield	71	88	42
Showmedemoney	71	83	—
Dion Baker	71	84	37
Sycamore	68	85	—
Perfect Swiss	66	88	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vindobala	3d ago	Quick return
Dion Baker	8d ago	Quick return
Bicep	14d ago	Fit
Irish Flame	17d ago	Fit
Star Shield	17d ago	Fit
Showmedemoney	21d ago	Fit
Million Thanks	21d ago	Fit
Create	25d ago	Fit
Sycamore	25d ago	Fit
Hortzadar	27d ago	Fit
Victoria Falls	36d ago	Fit
Perfect Swiss	86d ago	Fresh