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Aintree

5:15

Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Date 2023-04-15
Distance 4m2f74y
Class Class 1
Going Good To Soft
Type Chase
Surface Turf
Age Band 7yo+
Prize £500,000
Runners 40

Runners

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
13
Paul Townend · W P Mullins 154 — 3-2131
155
174
127
 32d — — +23
30.6
9
11%
Third in the 2022 Irish National and grabbed the 3m6f National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham
7
Keith Donoghue · Gordon Elliott 158 tp 3-1361
159
179
101
 31d — — +24
31.5
11
9%
Challenged for the lead two out in this last year before finishing a tired, 22l third
26
Derek Fox · Lucinda Russell 145 t U1-541
146
182
161
 32d — — +19
26.1
10
10%
Strong finish from off pace to win 3m1f handicap at Cheltenham twice; due to go up 10lb
25
Rachael Blackmore · Henry De Bromhead 145 — 20-241
146
173
136
 35d — — +18
26.4
10
10%
Progressive in Ireland; scopey, long-striding sort; fascinating prospect for this distance
15
Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton 151 — 14-112
152
177
163
 42d — — +21
27.4
14
7%
Won big 3m2f race at Newbury; stamina not absolutely guaranteed but he's of great interest
28
Brian Hayes · W P Mullins 144 — RP-B23
145
174
151
 30d — — +19
25.5
14
7%
Lightly raced 7yo, major quirks; if he fancies it, he has the tools to run extremely well
5
Aidan Coleman · Peter Fahey 159 — 6-113F
160
166
159
 70d — — +23
29.1
14
7%
Welsh National 3rd; some jumping issues, including when running big race in Irish Gold Cup
1
Mark Walsh · T M Walsh 166 b 12-241
167
172
81
 26d — — +25
30.9
16
6%
Placed last two Nationals; up 8lb since 2nd to Noble Yeats but was 20l clear of the third
2
Sean Bowen · Emmet Mullins 165 p -P1134
166
174
158
 29d — — +35
40.2
16
6%
Last year's winner; up 19lb but his 15l fourth in the Gold Cup keeps him in the reckoning
3
Davy Russell · Gordon Elliott 165 — -61462
166
170
101
 31d — — +34
38.2
20
5%
Cheltenham 2nd to Delta Work; jumping and stamina suggest he could take well to this test
23
Sean Flanagan · Gavin Cromwell 146 tp -636F2
147
173
112
 49d — — +26
30.2
22
5%
Jumping is the big issue but latest start was more reassuring; should relish the trip
6
Danny Mullins · W P Mullins 159 t 2U4-13
160
173
124
 56d — — +25
28.6
22
5%
Arrives with further potential, as well as with stamina all to prove beyond 3m
12
J J Slevin · Martin Brassil 154 t -P16U1
155
168
74
 29d — — +36
38.8
28
4%
In the first three or four in 2022 National until weakening from two out to be 34l sixth
35
Sam Twiston-Davies · Sam Thomas 142 p 135-11
143
177
154
 49d — — +21
24.2
25
4%
Knuckled down admirably to prevail on run-in in valuable 3m handicaps at Ascot and Kempton
24
Darragh O'Keeffe · Thomas Gibney 146 — -0PP12
147
170
93
 26d — — +33
35.9
25
4%
Sixth in the 2022 Irish National showed he stays 3m5f; back to form for last two outings
11
Harry Cobden · Gordon Elliott 154 b 8-9441
155
167
144
 55d — — +24
27.2
28
4%
3m4f win last time boosted his case but also earned him a big career-high mark
9
Sean O'Keeffe · Mrs John Harrington 157 — 242343
158
164
160
 28d — — +31
33.7
33
3%
1st or 2nd all five races at about 3m; took very well to these fences in November (2m5f)
39
Adam Wedge · Martin Keighley 142 — -9231P
143
172
129
 31d — — +29
32.8
28
4%
3lb out of handicap; proficient over 3m6f Cheltenham cross-country; soft ground a problem
4
Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Gordon Elliott 160 tp -31336
161
170
157
 30d — — +33
35.7
40
3%
Career-best form this term; worth this first go beyond 3m1f but needs to improve for it
29
Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson 144 — 20-223
145
171
124
 32d — — +22
24.5
40
3%
Two others saw the 3m6f out much better when he was a fair third at Cheltenham latest
17
Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard 150 b 3P-22P
151
175
166
 32d — — +24
25.7
50
2%
Huge player if judged on 2nd in 3m6f Welsh National; problems on plenty of other evidence
19
Felix De Giles · Patrick Griffin 148 — 7-33F2
149
166
89
 29d — — +23
25.5
33
3%
Some French runs make very interesting viewing, as do two runs over 3m2f at Down Royal
22
Theo Gillard · Donald Mccain 146 — 121-17
147
173
128
 21d — — +23
24.7
50
2%
Won eight of last nine races over fences, all in small fields; last two when upped to 3m
10
Michael O'Sullivan · W P Mullins 155 — 1U/014
156
167
117
 49d — — +25
27
66
2%
Short-head winner from Dunboyne in the Thyestes (3m1f); a lesser show one month later
34
Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan 142 tv -62164
143
171
142
 49d — — +28
30.2
50
2%
Front rank until two out in the 4m Eider at Newcastle on latest start but faded thereafter
27
Simon Torrens · Ciaran Murphy 145 tb 9-0006
146
173
74
 49d — — +23
24.5
66
2%
2021 Irish National third; jumping problems last spring; nothing to crow about this term
32
Peter Carberry · Henry De Bromhead 142 — 515683
143
168
123
 34d — — +27
28.8
50
2%
Looks handicapped up to his best; should stay beyond 3m but has so much further to go here
8
Jonathan Burke · Anthony Honeyball 158 t 1-35P5
159
172
156
 28d — — +33
34.7
66
2%
Runaway win over conventional fences here (3m1f) last April; muted lately; has had wind op
36
Jack Tudor · Gordon Elliott 142 b 6R1P24
143
166
141
 30d — — +28
29.1
80
1%
Two sides to him; ran creditably at Cheltenham but Mr Incredible finished more strongly
30
Charlie Deutsch · Venetia Williams 144 — 1P9-3P
145
175
96
 32d — — +22
24.2
66
2%
It looks as if others will finish much more strongly even if this is one of his good days
40
Phillip Enright · Paul John Gilligan 142 — 353050
143
163
120
 30d — — +23
24.5
80
1%
6lb out of handicap; no form beyond 3m1f (one go at 3m4f); 150-1, beaten 22l at Cheltenham
31
Ryan Mania · Sandy Thomson 142 tp 2U-370
143
173
158
 21d — — +22
23.6
66
2%
Beaten a nose in 3m2f race (soft) over these fences in December 2021; tailed off latest
21
Shane Fitzgerald · Joseph Patrick Obrien 146 p 64P03P
147
169
137
 31d — — +23
24.8
80
1%
Stays 3m but Leopardstown two starts ago showed that he's still fully effective over 2m1f
14
L P Dempsey · Joseph Patrick Obrien 153 tb 233154
154
174
157
 56d — — +32
32.8
100
1%
The three runs over 2m6f/3m among his last six starts have all been good; still needs more
38
Hugh Nugent · Henry Daly 142 b U-44P5
143
167
161
 56d — — +23
23.5
125
1%
Had a lot to do when producing what looked a tired unseat four out in this race last year
33
Jack Foley · W P Mullins 142 t 102300
143
168
129
 109d — — +25
26.6
100
1%
3rd in the Cork National (3m4f) in the mud; major backward steps in his two races since
20
Kieren Buckley · Noel Meade 148 b 0-9220
149
169
59
 55d — — +24
25.1
100
1%
Has looked stamina laden at 3m but failed to deliver in three handicaps over 3m4f/3m5f
37
Ben Jones · Peter Bowen 142 t 20005R
143
173
123
 31d — — +23
23.5
100
1%
Negotiated these fences 3 times; stamina doubts after two Cheltenham cross-country runs
18
Jody McGarvey · John Joseph Hanlon 148 p 92F304
149
170
119
 66d — — +26
27
150
1%
Two runs for new yard; latest a step back in the right direction but he has a lot to prove
NR
A P Heskin · Gordon Elliott 150 — 29-27P
151
174
154
 30d — — +25
25.5
125
1%
Cracked approaching two out in last year's National, beaten 75l; out of form lately
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Gaillard Du Mesnil
 9 9 9 9 9
Delta Work
 10 10 11 9 10
Corach Rambler
 10 10 10 10 10
Aint That A Shame
 10 9 10 9 9
Le Milos
 14 14 10 12 12
Mr Incredible
 14 12 12 12 14
The Big Dog
 14 14 14 12 12
Any Second Now
 16 14 16 12 14
Noble Yeats
 16 16 16 16 16
Galvin
 20 18 18 16 20
Vanillier
 22 20 20 20 22
Capodanno
 22 22 22 22 22
Longhouse Poet
 28 25 28 25 28
Our Power
 25 22 25 22 25
Velvet Elvis
 25 25 25 25 22
Coko Beach
 28 28 28 22 22
Lifetime Ambition
 33 28 33 28 28
Back On The Lash
 28 20 22 22 20
Fury Road
 40 33 33 33 33
Mister Coffey
 40 33 33 28 33
The Big Breakaway
 50 40 50 40 50
Roi Mage
 28 25 33 28 33
Minella Trump
 50 50 50 50 50
Carefully Selected
 66 50 40 50 50
Evas Oskar
 50 50 50 40 50
Enjoy Dallen
 66 50 50 40 66
Gabbys Cross
 50 50 50 40 50
Sam Brown
 66 66 66 66 50
Dunboyne
 80 66 80 50 66
Cloudy Glen
 66 66 66 66 66
Born By The Sea
 80 50 66 80 50
Hill Sixteen
 66 66 66 50 66
A Wave Of The Sea
 80 50 66 66 66
Darasso
 100 100 100 100 80
Fortescue
 100 100 125 100 100
Recite A Prayer
 80 80 100 50 66
Diol Ker
 100 100 100 100 100
Francky Du Berlais
 100 100 100 100 100
Cape Gentleman
 100 100 150 100 100
Escaria Ten
 100 100 125 100 125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Noble Yeats
40.2
OR: 29 Form: 9.8 Odds: 1.4
16
2nd Longhouse Poet
38.8
OR: 26.3 Form: 11.7 Odds: 0.9
28
3rd Galvin
38.2
OR: 29 Form: 8 Odds: 1.2
20
4 Velvet Elvis
35.9
OR: 24.3 Form: 10.8 Odds: 0.9
25
5 Fury Road
35.7
OR: 27.8 Form: 7.2 Odds: 0.7
40
6 Sam Brown
34.7
OR: 27.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.5
66
7 Lifetime Ambition
33.7
OR: 27 Form: 6 Odds: 0.7
33
8 Back On The Lash
32.8
OR: 23.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.1
28
9 Darasso
32.8
OR: 26 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.3
100
10 Delta Work
31.5
OR: 27.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1
11
11 Any Second Now
30.9
OR: 29.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16
12 Gaillard Du Mesnil
30.6
OR: 26.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2
9
13 Vanillier
30.2
OR: 24.3 Form: 4.9 Odds: 1.1
22
14 Evas Oskar
30.2
OR: 23.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.5
50
15 The Big Dog
29.1
OR: 27.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
14
16 Dunboyne
29.1
OR: 23.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.4
80
17 Gabbys Cross
28.8
OR: 23.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6
50
18 Capodanno
28.6
OR: 27.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
22
19 Le Milos
27.4
OR: 25.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9
14
20 Coko Beach
27.2
OR: 26.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1
28
21 Carefully Selected
27
OR: 26.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66
22 Cape Gentleman
27
OR: 24.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2
150
23 Recite A Prayer
26.6
OR: 23.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4
100
24 Aint That A Shame
26.4
OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
10
25 Corach Rambler
26.1
OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
10
26 The Big Breakaway
25.7
OR: 25.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
50
27 Mr Incredible
25.5
OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14
28 Roi Mage
25.5
OR: 24.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
33
29 Escaria Ten
25.5
OR: 25.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
125
30 Diol Ker
25.1
OR: 24.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
100
31 A Wave Of The Sea
24.8
OR: 24.3 Form: 0.2 Odds: 0.4
80
32 Minella Trump
24.7
OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
50
33 Mister Coffey
24.5
OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40
34 Enjoy Dallen
24.5
OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66
35 Born By The Sea
24.5
OR: 23.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.4
80
36 Our Power
24.2
OR: 23.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1
25
37 Cloudy Glen
24.2
OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66
38 Hill Sixteen
23.6
OR: 23.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
66
39 Fortescue
23.5
OR: 23.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
125
40 Francky Du Berlais
23.5
OR: 23.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
100

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Any Second Now Top Rated
167
172
81
Noble Yeats
166
174
158
Galvin
166
170
101
Fury Road
161
170
157
The Big Dog
160
166
159
Capodanno
160
173
124
Delta Work
159
179
101
Sam Brown
159
172
156
Lifetime Ambition
158
164
160
Carefully Selected
156
167
117
Gaillard Du Mesnil
155
174
127
Longhouse Poet
155
168
74
Coko Beach
155
167
144
Darasso
154
174
157
Le Milos
152
177
163
The Big Breakaway
151
175
166
Escaria Ten
151
174
154
Roi Mage
149
166
89
Diol Ker
149
169
59
Cape Gentleman
149
170
119
Vanillier
147
173
112
Velvet Elvis
147
170
93
Minella Trump
147
173
128
A Wave Of The Sea
147
169
137
Corach Rambler
146
182
161
Aint That A Shame
146
173
136
Enjoy Dallen
146
173
74
Mr Incredible
145
174
151
Mister Coffey
145
171
124
Cloudy Glen
145
175
96
Our Power
143
177
154
Back On The Lash
143
172
129
Evas Oskar
143
171
142
Gabbys Cross
143
168
123
Dunboyne
143
166
141
Born By The Sea
143
163
120
Hill Sixteen
143
173
158
Fortescue
143
167
161
Recite A Prayer
143
168
129
Francky Du Berlais
143
173
123

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Gaillard Du Mesnil 32d ago Fit
Delta Work 31d ago Fit
Corach Rambler 32d ago Fit
Aint That A Shame 35d ago Fit
Le Milos 42d ago Fit
Mr Incredible 30d ago Fit
The Big Dog 70d ago Fresh
Any Second Now 26d ago Fit
Noble Yeats 29d ago Fit
Galvin 31d ago Fit
Vanillier 49d ago Fresh
Capodanno 56d ago Fresh
Longhouse Poet 29d ago Fit
Our Power 49d ago Fresh
Velvet Elvis 26d ago Fit
Coko Beach 55d ago Fresh
Lifetime Ambition 28d ago Fit
Back On The Lash 31d ago Fit
Fury Road 30d ago Fit
Mister Coffey 32d ago Fit
The Big Breakaway 32d ago Fit
Roi Mage 29d ago Fit
Minella Trump 21d ago Fit
Carefully Selected 49d ago Fresh
Evas Oskar 49d ago Fresh
Enjoy Dallen 49d ago Fresh
Gabbys Cross 34d ago Fit
Sam Brown 28d ago Fit
Dunboyne 30d ago Fit
Cloudy Glen 32d ago Fit
Born By The Sea 30d ago Fit
Hill Sixteen 21d ago Fit
A Wave Of The Sea 31d ago Fit
Darasso 56d ago Fresh
Fortescue 56d ago Fresh
Recite A Prayer 109d ago Long break
Diol Ker 55d ago Fresh
Francky Du Berlais 31d ago Fit
Cape Gentleman 66d ago Fresh
Escaria Ten 30d ago Fit

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Lifetime Ambition Front Runner
Capodanno Prominent
Darasso Prominent
Delta Work Hold Up
Corach Rambler Hold Up
Any Second Now Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 6 of 40 runners classified.

Going: Good To Soft

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